Tue, Jan 18, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
9%
28%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Cozens | Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs | Jankowski–Asplund–Murray | Eakin–Hayden–Bjork | Eakin–Skinner–Tuch | Tuch–Olofsson–Krebs | Hayden–Bjork–Cozens | Hayden–Olofsson–Krebs | Jankowski–Hayden–Bjork | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Pysyk–Samuelsson | Butcher–Hagg | Hagg–Jokiharju | Butcher–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk | 1:240.06–0.10 | 1:320.12–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:310.06–0.00 | 3:060.11–0.10 | 3:080.10–0.01 | |||||
| Formenton–Batherson–Stützle | 1:350.24–0.01 | 1:190.03–0.01 | 1:050.07–0.04 | 1:400.10–0.01 | 1:470.16–0.01 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 3:070.28–0.07 | |||||||
| Watson–Sanford–Gambrell | 2:380.00–0.08 | 0:500.03–0.17 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.27 | 1:040.04–0.00 | 1:490.02–0.11 | 0:330.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Ennis–Tierney–Gaudette | 1:270.08–0.12 | 0:550.03–0.05 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 1:390.08–0.01 | 2:020.02–0.17 | 0:520.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Paul–Norris–Tkachuk | 1:320.00–0.06 | 0:550.07–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:110.00–0.02 | 0:500.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gaudette–Formenton–Stützle | 0:450.04–0.00 | 1:130.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 2:100.30–0.04 | 0:440.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Paul–Formenton–Stützle | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.13 | 2:000.06–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ennis–Tierney–Paul | 1:010.00–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.15 | 0:490.03–0.03 | 1:080.00–0.19 | ||||||||||
| Holden–Zub | 5:400.15–0.20 | 2:000.17–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.03 | 0:550.03–0.00 | 5:210.28–0.28 | 3:480.15–0.08 | 2:360.07–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | |||||
| Chabot–Bernard-Docker | 3:120.03–0.17 | 1:300.07–0.00 | 3:160.12–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 4:050.13–0.18 | 4:080.03–0.04 | 3:370.09–0.00 | ||||||
| Chabot–Brannstrom | 1:300.24–0.07 | 2:470.07–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:510.04–0.05 | 2:160.28–0.05 | ||||||
| Brown–Brannstrom | 1:510.00–0.01 | 1:500.10–0.28 | 1:080.10–0.00 | 1:490.33–0.01 | 1:180.00–0.27 | 2:490.13–0.17 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Chabot–Zub | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.08–0.01 | 0:370.03–0.01 | 0:380.05–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Brannstrom–Zub | 0:590.00–0.04 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Holden–Bernard-Docker | 0:500.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 27 | 30:41 | 1:08 | 2:10 | 10 | 1 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 25 | 24:40 | 0:59 | 1:47 | 11 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 24 | 22:41 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 8 | 0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 30 | 22:01 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 2 | 9 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 27 | 21:44 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 8 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 26 | 20:50 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 30 | 20:47 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 2 | 9 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 28 | 20:39 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 5 | 4 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 28 | 20:33 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 8 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 28 | 19:53 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 5 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 19:32 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 5 | 0 |
 Robert HaggBUF | 25 | 19:11 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 5 | 5 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 18:17 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 7 | 3 |
 Alex FormentonOTT | 21 | 16:49 | 0:48 | 1:04 | 5 | 1 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 26 | 16:32 | 0:38 | 1:33 | 1 | 5 |
 Will ButcherBUF | 21 | 16:25 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 6 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 23 | 16:22 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Mark JankowskiBUF | 25 | 15:49 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 2 | 7 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 15:34 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 6 | 2 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 21 | 15:06 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 2 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 14:38 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 6 | 3 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 20 | 14:29 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 6 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 14:10 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 6 | 3 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 15 | 14:01 | 0:56 | 1:43 | 2 | 2 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 0 | 2 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 18 | 12:35 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 20 | 12:27 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 3 | 3 |
 John HaydenBUF | 17 | 11:48 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Tyler EnnisOTT | 16 | 11:40 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Zachary SanfordOTT | 18 | 11:30 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 2 | 6 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 17 | 11:27 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 3 | 1 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 16 | 11:02 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 4 | 2 |
 Brett MurrayBUF | 16 | 10:56 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 17 | 10:18 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 0 | 6 |
 Joshua BrownOTT | 16 | 9:34 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 3 | 2 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 16 | 8:58 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 0 | 7 |