Thu, Jan 20, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 5, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 78% of the time.
16%
73%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:18 | 0.11 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:57 | 0.15 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.09 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | −1 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.04 | 52.8% | +77.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19:24 | 0.39 | 74.0% | +88.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 5 | 19:01 | 0.49 | 49.8% | +62.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.32 | 41.4% | +48.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 17:39 | 0.29 | 50.2% | +41.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17:29 | 0.99 | 74.6% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.68 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.11 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:02 | 0.27 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.02 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.19 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:06 | 0.38 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:19 | 0.02 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.55 | −1.4 | 59:54 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 28:05 | 0.24 | 36.2% | +55.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 25:50 | 0.02 | 36.7% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.03 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:59 | 0.53 | 37.1% | +9.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.05 | 50.8% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.37 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.31 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.03 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.29 | 33.1% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.18 | 29.3% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.05 | 50.5% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.18 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.03 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.06 | 37.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.17 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:25 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 47 | 42 | 5 | .894 | 4.53 | −0.5 | 57:58 |