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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 29, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale

Buffalo Sabres 3, Arizona Coyotes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 57% of the time.

ARI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Crouse, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:44Shot by Fischer, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:29Crouse: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nash, Fischer, Crouse, Chychrun, Lyubushkin · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens

  6. P1 6:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  7. P1 7:02Goal by Okposo (Bryson, Eakin)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Eriksson, Stralman, Roussel, Moser · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Cozens

  8. P1 7:42Shot by Tuch, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 7:43Shot by Tuch, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 9:40Samuelsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nash, Roussel, Gostisbehere, Fischer, Capobianco · BUF Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens

  11. P1 9:59Shot by Keller, saved by Anderson5v4
  12. P1 11:21Shot by Fischer, saved by Anderson5v4
  13. P1 11:43Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 12:20Shot by Stralman, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 12:22Shot by Dzingel, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 15:07Goal by Krebs (Mittelstadt, Tuch)+16 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Kessel, Dzingel, Moser · BUF Tuch, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Krebs

  17. P1 15:35Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vejmelka
  18. P1 16:17Shot by Crouse, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 17:04Shot by Tuch, saved by Vejmelka
  20. P1 18:16Shot by Eakin, saved by Vejmelka
  21. P1 18:18Dzingel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Kessel, Dzingel, Chychrun, Lyubushkin · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Bjork, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson

  22. P1 18:27Shot by Okposo, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  23. P1 18:55Shot by Tuch, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  24. P1 19:08Shot by Krebs, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  25. P1 19:27Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  29. P2 1:06Shot by Boyd, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 1:24Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 3:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Vejmelka
  32. P2 3:21Shot by Hayden, saved by Vejmelka
  33. P2 4:06Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 5:26Shot by Bjork, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P2 7:14Goal by Tuch (Krebs, Thompson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nash, Fischer, Keller, Lyubushkin, Moser · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Bryson, Krebs

  36. P2 7:38Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  37. P2 8:22Shot by Bjork, saved by Vejmelka
  38. P2 9:23Shot by Capobianco, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 9:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Vejmelka
  40. P2 10:16Shot by Hagg, saved by Vejmelka
  41. P2 11:36Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Vejmelka
  42. P2 11:57Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P2 12:22Shot by Eakin, saved by Vejmelka
  44. P2 13:50Shot by Bjork, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P2 13:51Gostisbehere: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Eriksson, Galchenyuk, Gostisbehere, Keller, Moser · BUF Jankowski, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork, Fitzgerald

  46. P2 13:51Bjork: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Eriksson, Galchenyuk, Gostisbehere, Keller, Moser · BUF Jankowski, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork, Fitzgerald

  47. P2 14:19Moser: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Keller, Chychrun, Moser · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson

  48. P2 14:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Vejmelka3v4
  49. P2 15:45Shot by Tuch, saved by Vejmelka3v4
  50. P2 16:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 17:53Shot by Stralman, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 19:32Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vejmelka
  53. P2 19:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Vejmelka
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:29Shot by Skinner, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P3 1:57Shot by Roussel, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 1:58Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 7:45Shot by Boyd, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 8:56Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  61. P3 10:17Samuelsson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: ARI Eriksson, Kessel, Boyd, Gostisbehere, Keller, Chychrun · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson

  62. P3 10:43Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson5v4
  63. P3 11:30Goal by Gostisbehere (Keller, Kessel)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Kessel, Boyd, Gostisbehere, Keller · BUF Eakin, Tuch, Fitzgerald, Jokiharju

  64. P3 12:01Shot by Chychrun, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 12:58Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 13:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 13:25Shot by Okposo, saved by Vejmelka
  68. P3 15:47Shot by Chychrun, saved by Anderson6v5
  69. P3 17:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Vejmelka
  70. P3 17:46Shot by Fischer, saved by Anderson6v5
  71. P3 17:49Shot by Fischer, saved by Anderson6v5
  72. P3 17:51Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Anderson6v5
  73. P3 18:21Shot by Fischer, saved by Anderson6v5
  74. P3 18:42Shot by Moser, saved by Anderson6v5
  75. P3 19:23Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final