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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 28, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

WSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:44Shot by Hathaway, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:49Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 1:53Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 2:17Shot by Sandin, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 2:35Goal by Bunting (Marner, Sandin)+10 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  7. P1 3:27Shot by Dowd, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 4:02Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 4:50Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 5:16Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 5:22Shot by Dowd, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 8:02Shot by Engvall, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 8:16Shot by Kampf, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 9:32Kuznetsov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin, Lyubushkin

  15. P1 12:18Shot by Snively, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 13:39Shot by Holl, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 14:47Shot by Engvall, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 15:09Shot by Dowd, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 15:31Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 16:23Goal by Sheary (Backstrom, Carlson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Sheary, Fehérváry · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin, Lyubushkin

  21. P1 18:08Shot by Hathaway, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 18:27Shot by Bunting, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 18:49Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Kerfoot)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Carlson, Fehérváry, Snively, McMichael · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Lyubushkin

  24. P1 19:58Goal by Holl (Marner, Rielly)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Kuznetsov, Kempny, Fehérváry · TOR Holl, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:43Shot by Orlov, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 1:44Bunting: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin, Lyubushkin

  29. P2 2:37Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vanecek5v4
  30. P2 3:34Shot by Rielly, saved by Vanecek5v4
  31. P2 4:43Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vanecek
  32. P2 6:22Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vanecek
  33. P2 6:54Shot by Hathaway, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 8:20Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vanecek
  35. P2 8:34Engvall: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Kempny · TOR Engvall, Kampf, Sandin, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev

  36. P2 9:24Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Mrazek5v4
  37. P2 9:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  38. P2 9:41Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  39. P2 9:51Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Mrazek5v4
  40. P2 10:11Goal by Wilson (Ovechkin, Carlson)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Sheary · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Mikheyev

  41. P2 11:57Shot by Simmonds, saved by Vanecek
  42. P2 12:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Vanecek
  43. P2 13:04Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 13:11Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 13:36Eller: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Snively, McMichael · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  46. P2 15:58Bunting: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Eller, Orlov, Sheary, van Riemsdyk · TOR Brodie, Bunting, Kampf, Sandin, Mikheyev

  47. P2 16:08Shot by Marner, saved by Vanecek5v4
  48. P2 16:31Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Mrazek5v4
  49. P2 17:05Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vanecek5v4
  50. P2 19:59Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:39Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 0:49Kuznetsov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · TOR Rielly, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev

  55. P3 1:44Goal by Wilson (Fehérváry, Carlson)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  56. P3 3:05Shot by Tavares, saved by Vanecek
  57. P3 3:10Shot by Brodie, saved by Vanecek
  58. P3 3:40Shot by Holl, saved by Vanecek
  59. P3 5:40Shot by Kampf, saved by Vanecek
  60. P3 5:41Eller: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, van Riemsdyk, Kempny, Snively, McMichael · TOR Brodie, Holl, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev

  61. P3 7:40Shot by Sheary, saved by Mrazek4v5
  62. P3 11:44Shot by Backstrom, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 13:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Vanecek
  64. P3 14:09Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 15:02van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Kempny · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Sandin, Lyubushkin, Robertson

  66. P3 15:02Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Kempny · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Sandin, Lyubushkin, Robertson

  67. P3 15:26Shot by Orlov, saved by Mrazek4v4
  68. P3 16:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Vanecek4v4
  69. P3 16:37Goal by Sandin (Holl, Tavares)4v4+44 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Fehérváry · TOR Tavares, Holl, Matthews, Sandin

  70. P3 16:50Shot by Oshie, saved by Mrazek4v4
  71. P3 17:14Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vanecek
  72. P3 18:13Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 18:33Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Mrazek6v5
  74. P3 18:59Goal by Engvall (Mikheyev)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson · TOR Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev

  75. P3 19:59Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final