Mon, Feb 28, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
24%
9%
8%
59%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.04 | 58.8% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.01 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.16 | 59.5% | +26.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.25 | 78.8% | +59.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.22 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:31 | 0.57 | 69.7% | +4.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.25 | 59.4% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.29 | 57.5% | +60.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.29 | 59.3% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.20 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.12 | 62.8% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.10 | 35.5% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:44 | 0.82 | 69.7% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.03 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.10 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:28 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.48 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 2 | 25:44 | 0.03 | 38.1% | +59.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.09 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.33 | 28.2% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.06 | 32.3% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 18:44 | 0.87 | 28.7% | +43.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.10 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.10 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.14 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.25 | 33.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.01 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.06 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.11 | 61.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.05 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:09 | 0.19 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.07 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:57 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 1.10 | −1.9 | 20:00 | |
| L | 17 | 16 | 1 | .941 | 1.58 | +0.6 | 38:45 |