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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 28, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

WSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Kerfoot–NylanderEngvall–Kampf–MikheyevSpezza–Simmonds–RobertsonBrodie–HollRielly–LiljegrenSandin–LyubushkinRielly–LyubushkinBrodie–Lyubushkin
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson2:540.01–0.312:050.09–0.084:150.10–0.072:410.00–0.043:280.07–0.342:200.12–0.001:130.00–0.10
Hagelin–Dowd–Hathaway5:130.25–0.131:320.05–0.050:540.00–0.001:220.08–0.003:530.19–0.133:120.06–0.05
Oshie–Backstrom–Sheary0:500.00–0.012:540.23–0.071:200.08–0.131:310.00–0.042:190.00–0.082:270.17–0.071:310.15–0.030:330.00–0.00
Eller–Snively–McMichael1:240.00–0.172:010.01–0.232:330.20–0.103:140.20–0.260:550.00–0.100:580.01–0.02
Eller–Wilson–Sheary0:380.10–0.00
Carlson–Fehérváry4:010.10–0.355:010.33–0.282:140.03–0.032:520.00–0.255:190.27–0.323:240.19–0.00
Orlov–Jensen5:030.15–0.133:280.05–0.131:400.08–0.134:240.08–0.052:440.09–0.132:460.12–0.031:160.00–0.10
van Riemsdyk–Kempny4:060.01–0.173:040.22–0.043:380.20–0.151:160.00–0.041:470.04–0.020:330.00–0.00
Orlov–van Riemsdyk0:540.07–0.001:070.17–0.00
Jensen–Fehérváry0:430.00–0.050:430.00–0.05
Carlson–Kempny0:400.00–0.00
Orlov–Kempny0:540.00–0.101:050.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FWilson FKuznetsov FHathaway FBackstrom FSheary FOshie FHagelin FDowd FEller FMcMichael FSnively FFehérváry DCarlson DJensen DOrlov DKempny Dvan Riemsdyk DSamsonov GVanecek GEngvall FKampf FMikheyev FMarner FMatthews FBunting FKerfoot FNylander FTavares FSpezza FSimmonds FRobertson FLiljegren DRielly DHoll DBrodie DSandin DLyubushkin DMrazek G
WSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH3025:440:511:4643
Morgan RiellyTOR2624:350:572:0842
TJ BrodieTOR2521:310:521:2614
Mitch MarnerTOR2821:290:461:1394
Justin HollTOR2520:460:501:3514
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2420:400:521:5641
Alex OvechkinWSH2020:161:012:0541
Martin FehérváryWSH2720:030:451:2733
Nick JensenWSH2620:010:461:2326
Auston MatthewsTOR2619:290:451:2191
Tom WilsonWSH2518:440:451:2323
Dmitry OrlovWSH2318:320:481:4323
Ilya MikheyevTOR2418:310:462:0303
Michael BuntingTOR2318:230:481:0951
John TavaresTOR2117:360:501:4143
William NylanderTOR2117:080:491:4142
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2216:340:451:5704
T.J. OshieWSH1816:270:551:4650
Nicklas BackstromWSH1816:260:552:0950
Carl HagelinWSH2316:240:431:1817
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2015:590:482:0802
David KampfTOR2215:270:421:4104
Alexander KerfootTOR2215:200:421:1433
Rasmus SandinTOR2015:050:451:1811
Nic DowdWSH2214:480:401:0318
Ilya LyubushkinTOR1914:210:451:1621
Conor ShearyWSH2013:340:411:1240
Lars EllerWSH1913:130:421:1233
Garnet HathawayWSH2012:090:361:1813
Michal KempnyWSH1311:590:551:2601
Pierre EngvallTOR2011:440:350:5802
Wayne SimmondsTOR1610:200:391:1210
Jason SpezzaTOR149:110:391:1210
Joe SnivelyWSH128:230:421:2721
Connor McMichaelWSH116:570:381:1021
Nick RobertsonTOR115:280:300:5610