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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 1, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Goal by Ennis (Chabot, Brown)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Point, Joseph, Sergachev · OTT Ennis, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev

  3. P1 3:43Goal by Sanford (White, Tkachuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · OTT Holden, Ennis, Sanford, White, Zub

  4. P1 4:20Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Murray
  6. P1 5:27Shot by Watson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:07Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:15Goal by Kucherov (Point)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta · OTT Ennis, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev

  9. P1 8:50Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 8:51Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli · OTT Sanford, White, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  11. P1 8:51Perry: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli · OTT Sanford, White, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  12. P1 10:32Shot by Paul, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  13. P1 12:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Murray
  14. P1 14:49Goal by Point (Palat, Rutta)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta · OTT Holden, Ennis, Brown, Gambrell, Zub

  15. P1 15:56Shot by Maroon, saved by Murray
  16. P1 15:56Kelly: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta · OTT Watson, Chabot, Zaitsev, Gambrell, Kelly

  17. P1 16:21Shot by Point, saved by Murray5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:58Shot by Joseph, saved by Murray
  21. P2 2:17Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P2 2:37Shot by Rutta, saved by Murray
  23. P2 3:55Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 4:27Maroon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Sanford, White, Tkachuk, Zub

  25. P2 4:27Brown: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Sanford, White, Tkachuk, Zub

  26. P2 4:27Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Sanford, White, Tkachuk, Zub

  27. P2 4:27Cernak: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Sanford, White, Tkachuk, Zub

  28. P2 4:27Brown: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Sanford, White, Tkachuk, Zub

  29. P2 4:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Murray5v4
  30. P2 5:18Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Point)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · OTT Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Formenton

  31. P2 6:06Brannstrom: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton · OTT Watson, Paul, Chabot, Gaudette, Brannstrom

  32. P2 7:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Murray5v4
  33. P2 8:24Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  34. P2 8:55Stützle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Raddysh, Colton, Rutta · OTT Ennis, Brown, Chabot, Brannstrom, Stützle

  35. P2 9:20Shot by Point, saved by Murray5v4
  36. P2 9:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Murray5v4
  37. P2 10:20Shot by Palat, saved by Murray5v4
  38. P2 11:06Shot by Perry, saved by Murray
  39. P2 12:02Bellemare: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Sustr, Bellemare, Raddysh, Sergachev · OTT Watson, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev, Kelly

  40. P2 12:10Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  41. P2 13:13Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  42. P2 14:56Shot by Point, saved by Murray
  43. P2 15:23Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 16:08Goal by Perry (Maroon, McDonagh)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak · OTT Brown, Sanford, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle

  45. P2 17:36Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:36Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Raddysh · OTT Brown, Paul, Gaudette, Brannstrom, Stützle

  47. P2 18:09Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  48. P2 18:59Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Murray
  52. P3 2:08Stamkos: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr, Joseph, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Gaudette, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle

  53. P3 3:17Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  54. P3 4:54Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 5:35Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 6:57Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 7:05Shot by Holden, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 7:31Shot by Paul, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 9:02Goal by Sergachev (Point)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · OTT Brown, Sanford, White, Brannstrom, Tkachuk

  60. P3 10:21Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  61. P3 13:57Shot by Cirelli, saved by Murray
  62. P3 14:18Cirelli: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton · OTT Brown, Gaudette, Gambrell, Formenton, Brannstrom

  63. P3 14:18Formenton: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton · OTT Brown, Gaudette, Gambrell, Formenton, Brannstrom

  64. P3 14:18Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton · OTT Brown, Gaudette, Gambrell, Formenton, Brannstrom

  65. P3 14:18Formenton: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton · OTT Brown, Gaudette, Gambrell, Formenton, Brannstrom

  66. P3 15:55Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 18:04Killorn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Joseph · OTT Brown, Gaudette, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle

  68. P3 18:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  69. P3 18:34Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  70. P3 18:35Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  71. P3 18:37Maroon: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak · OTT Brown, White, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  72. P3 18:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
  73. P3 18:37Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak · OTT Brown, White, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  74. P3 19:29Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  76. P3 0:00Final4v5