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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 23, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New Jersey Devils 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Sharangovich–Hughes–MercerTatar–Bratt–HischierVesey–Johnsson–BoqvistGreer–Bastian–McLeodBratt–Hughes–MercerVesey–Johnsson–HischierSeverson–GravesHamilton–SiegenthalerSubban–BahlGraves–SiegenthalerSubban–Hamilton
Bunting–Marner–Matthews3:420.09–0.175:210.39–0.172:110.16–0.121:190.07–0.020:320.14–0.009:430.67–0.371:460.00–0.001:440.07–0.11
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander2:450.07–0.000:480.00–0.014:480.10–0.001:130.03–0.011:500.15–0.003:500.11–0.014:140.16–0.010:560.03–0.00
Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev3:460.17–0.001:010.00–0.001:250.11–0.061:030.00–0.003:540.07–0.001:570.21–0.06
Spezza–Simmonds–Blackwell1:310.21–0.001:170.00–0.091:560.10–0.000:490.00–0.09
Brodie–Holl3:120.09–0.053:220.42–0.013:030.05–0.050:340.00–0.001:020.00–0.100:510.14–0.025:140.47–0.055:560.16–0.371:370.00–0.06
Rielly–Lyubushkin4:330.15–0.171:500.08–0.132:400.23–0.112:230.10–0.104:410.08–0.292:120.05–0.005:120.34–0.21
Giordano–Liljegren2:080.12–0.004:290.10–0.043:110.00–0.030:410.00–0.003:560.10–0.053:480.12–0.002:510.10–0.020:530.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FMatthews FBunting FEngvall FKampf FMikheyev FTavares FNylander FKerfoot FSimmonds FBlackwell FSpezza FLiljegren DGiordano DBrodie DHoll DRielly DLyubushkin DMrazek GHischier FBratt FTatar FVesey FJohnsson FBoqvist FMercer FHughes FSharangovich FMcLeod FGreer FBastian FSeverson DGraves DSubban DBahl DHamilton DSiegenthaler DDaws G
TORNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Damon SeversonNJD2828:131:003:1947
Mitch MarnerTOR2823:100:501:4266
Nico HischierNJD2622:460:532:3042
TJ BrodieTOR2722:430:502:1636
Jack HughesNJD2322:050:582:0531
Morgan RiellyTOR2421:520:551:3922
Auston MatthewsTOR2421:350:541:3454
Ryan GravesNJD2620:570:481:1627
Jesper BrattNJD2420:550:521:4833
Justin HollTOR2620:200:471:4336
Dougie HamiltonNJD2120:160:581:4441
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD2319:290:511:4044
William NylanderTOR2218:490:511:2943
Michael BuntingTOR2318:460:491:3464
Yegor SharangovichNJD2418:400:471:2441
Mark GiordanoTOR2618:350:431:0931
John TavaresTOR2017:300:531:2933
Dawson MercerNJD2217:020:461:4431
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2316:480:441:2213
Alexander KerfootTOR2216:180:441:1614
P.K. SubbanNJD2116:180:471:1102
Tomas TatarNJD2114:570:431:2420
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2214:270:391:0921
David KampfTOR1914:240:451:1823
Jimmy VeseyNJD2114:040:401:1414
Ilya MikheyevTOR1814:000:471:5721
Andreas JohnssonNJD1913:260:421:1211
Pierre EngvallTOR1712:420:451:3511
Jesper BoqvistNJD1812:030:401:2211
Kevin BahlNJD2011:510:361:1012
Michael McLeodNJD169:060:340:5506
Colin BlackwellTOR138:210:390:5911
Nathan BastianNJD128:150:411:3511
Jason SpezzaTOR137:220:340:5120
Wayne SimmondsTOR125:530:290:5601
A.J. GreerNJD95:150:350:5002