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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 26, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:07Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Vrana, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 3:45Shot by Sergachev, saved by Nedeljkovic
  5. P1 6:30Shot by Hronek, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 10:26Sergachev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Oesterle, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  7. P1 11:19Shot by Raymond, saved by Elliott5v4
  8. P1 11:30Shot by Cirelli, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  9. P1 12:08Shot by Zadina, saved by Elliott5v4
  10. P1 13:07Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 13:13Foote: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Foote

  12. P1 14:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Elliott5v4
  13. P1 15:52Shot by Suter, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 16:29Shot by Perry, saved by Nedeljkovic
  15. P1 18:38Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:53Shot by Cirelli, saved by Nedeljkovic
  19. P2 2:33Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nedeljkovic
  20. P2 3:12Shot by Rutta, saved by Nedeljkovic
  21. P2 3:14Shot by Rutta, saved by Nedeljkovic
  22. P2 4:11Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Elliott
  23. P2 4:26Shot by Cernak, saved by Nedeljkovic
  24. P2 4:55Shot by Seider, saved by Elliott
  25. P2 6:02Perry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hirose, Seider, Raymond · TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Bellemare, Foote

  26. P2 6:46Shot by Seider, saved by Elliott5v4
  27. P2 9:07Shot by Palat, saved by Nedeljkovic
  28. P2 9:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  29. P2 12:17Juolevi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Vrana, Juolevi, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Bellemare, Colton, Foote

  30. P2 12:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  31. P2 15:10Shot by Zadina, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 17:03Shot by Maroon, saved by Nedeljkovic
  33. P2 18:18Shot by Larkin, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 18:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Nedeljkovic
  35. P2 18:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  36. P2 19:41Shot by Hronek, saved by Elliott
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:43Cirelli: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Walman, Lindstrom, Raymond · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli, Rutta

  40. P3 2:23Shot by Hirose, saved by Elliott5v4
  41. P3 2:40Killorn: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hirose, Seider, Raymond · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Bellemare, Cernak

  42. P3 2:48Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Elliott5v4
  43. P3 4:24Shot by Veleno, saved by Elliott5v4
  44. P3 4:33Shot by Veleno, saved by Elliott5v4
  45. P3 5:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  46. P3 5:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  47. P3 6:18Shot by Oesterle, saved by Elliott
  48. P3 7:00Shot by Gagner, saved by Elliott
  49. P3 7:20Shot by Walman, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 7:37Shot by Walman, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 7:39Shot by Gagner, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 8:07Shot by Juolevi, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 8:41Goal by Sundqvist (Suter, Erne)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Sundqvist, Erne, Oesterle, Suter, Seider · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Rutta

  54. P3 9:20Shot by Paul, saved by Nedeljkovic
  55. P3 10:41Shot by Perry, saved by Nedeljkovic
  56. P3 11:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  57. P3 12:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Nedeljkovic
  58. P3 12:26Shot by Palat, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P3 13:17Shot by Colton, saved by Nedeljkovic
  60. P3 13:39Shot by Larkin, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 13:52Zadina: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Juolevi, Hronek, Zadina · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Kucherov, Bellemare, Cernak

  62. P3 14:05Shot by Hedman, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  63. P3 14:37Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  64. P3 14:52Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  65. P3 15:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  66. P3 15:22Goal by Stamkos (Point, Cirelli)4v5+34 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, Bertuzzi, Oesterle, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  67. P3 16:20Shot by Oesterle, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 16:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Nedeljkovic
  69. P3 16:57Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic
  70. P3 16:58Shot by Cernak, saved by Nedeljkovic
  71. P3 19:30Shot by Raymond, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:51Bertuzzi: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Seider · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  75. OT 1:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Nedeljkovic3v4
  76. OT 2:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Nedeljkovic3v4
  77. OT 2:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Nedeljkovic3v4
  78. OT 2:32Goal by Point (Stamkos, Cirelli)3v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: DET Sundqvist, Oesterle, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  79. OT 2:32Period end4v4
  80. OT 2:32Final