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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 26, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Palat–CirelliPerry–Maroon–BellemarePaul–Colton–HagelPalat–Colton–HagelCernak–SergachevHedman–RuttaBogosian–FooteBogosian–SergachevSergachev–FooteSergachev–RuttaBogosian–RuttaHedman–CernakBogosian–HedmanBogosian–CernakHedman–Foote
Bertuzzi–Larkin–Raymond4:120.29–0.224:370.14–0.101:430.00–0.105:050.14–0.144:470.19–0.130:400.12–0.000:320.00–0.011:260.07–0.03
Sundqvist–Erne–Suter6:420.07–0.501:240.00–0.001:010.00–0.033:170.01–0.123:120.09–0.300:310.00–0.002:160.00–0.110:370.06–0.000:340.00–0.00
Gagner–Vrana–Veleno1:150.00–0.003:260.48–0.472:150.04–0.000:480.00–0.062:160.04–0.171:220.44–0.001:470.00–0.240:520.04–0.00
Rasmussen–Zadina–Hirose0:420.01–0.001:030.00–0.062:150.10–0.002:010.10–0.311:160.01–0.120:400.00–0.001:300.10–0.061:030.00–0.190:540.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Vrana–Rasmussen–Zadina0:430.05–0.00
Gagner–Erne–Suter0:360.00–0.060:330.00–0.00
Walman–Lindstrom2:080.06–0.044:220.00–0.102:110.00–0.362:230.04–0.293:210.00–0.103:380.00–0.111:030.00–0.191:350.00–0.360:300.00–0.000:540.06–0.001:240.07–0.03
Oesterle–Seider7:350.02–0.330:470.14–0.000:490.00–0.001:390.00–0.034:020.16–0.124:220.11–0.292:180.08–0.030:320.00–0.010:540.00–0.17
Juolevi–Hronek2:470.00–0.243:380.36–0.231:490.00–0.121:330.00–0.180:470.15–0.183:540.14–0.231:000.22–0.000:390.00–0.00
Walman–Hronek1:380.01–0.081:010.00–0.000:400.39–0.001:000.00–0.002:120.01–0.001:010.00–0.020:400.39–0.00
Hronek–Seider0:420.00–0.081:010.00–0.031:370.00–0.11
Oesterle–Hronek
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSuter FSundqvist FErne FRaymond FBertuzzi FLarkin FVrana FGagner FVeleno FRasmussen FZadina FHirose FWalman DLindstrom DSeider DOesterle DHronek DJuolevi DNedeljkovic GKillorn FPalat FCirelli FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FPaul FHagel FColton FPerry FBellemare FMaroon FRutta DHedman DSergachev DCernak DFoote DBogosian DElliott G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2625:571:004:0728
Victor HedmanTBL2625:360:592:1732
Mikhail SergachevTBL2724:450:551:4049
Filip HronekDET2624:160:562:4745
Jordan OesterleDET2523:400:573:0337
Dylan LarkinDET2223:251:042:1635
Tyler BertuzziDET2122:521:052:1135
Steven StamkosTBL2722:130:491:4186
Erik CernakTBL2421:480:552:1729
Lucas RaymondDET2021:441:052:0433
Brayden PointTBL2120:290:591:5362
Jake WalmanDET2320:230:532:1144
Nikita KucherovTBL2120:070:571:5352
Anthony CirelliTBL2019:340:592:0942
Jan RuttaTBL2119:150:551:3702
Alex KillornTBL2116:240:471:1943
Zach BogosianTBL1615:290:581:3242
Pius SuterDET1815:200:512:1243
Gustav LindstromDET1515:091:011:5212
Ondrej PalatTBL1914:550:471:0941
Oskar SundqvistDET1914:490:471:5634
Jakub VranaDET1514:010:562:0161
Brandon HagelTBL1813:390:461:1432
Sam GagnerDET1613:240:501:2545
Adam ErneDET1612:440:482:1142
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2012:210:371:3208
Taro HiroseDET1312:200:572:4812
Nick PaulTBL1912:190:392:0031
Filip ZadinaDET1511:580:481:3940
Michael RasmussenDET1511:270:461:0831
Joseph VelenoDET1311:030:511:2931
Cal FooteTBL1410:580:471:4411
Corey PerryTBL1310:270:481:3623
Olli JuoleviDET159:340:381:0013
Patrick MaroonTBL129:310:481:3423
Ross ColtonTBL149:310:411:0640