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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 27, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 0:54Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 1:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 2:06Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 2:28Shot by Maroon, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 2:32Johnston: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Greene, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Hutton · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  10. P1 2:32Maroon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Greene, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Hutton · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  11. P1 2:32Perry: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Greene, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Hutton · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  12. P1 2:32Martin: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Greene, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Hutton · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  13. P1 3:16Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 6:39Shot by Martin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 6:52Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 8:13Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 11:19Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 11:42Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 11:55Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  20. P1 12:46Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  21. P1 12:47Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  22. P1 12:47Shot by Pageau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  23. P1 13:05Palmieri: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Parise, Bailey, Palmieri, Pulock, Beauvillier · TBL Bogosian, Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev

  24. P1 13:35Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  25. P1 15:39Shot by Cernak, saved by Sorokin
  26. P1 15:39Shot by Perry, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 18:14Goal by Nelson (Pelech)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier · TBL Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev

  28. P1 19:15Chara: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Martin, Barzal, Hutton, Wahlstrom · TBL Perry, Hedman, Bellemare, Hagel, Rutta

  29. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sorokin4v5
  32. P2 0:45Shot by Killorn, saved by Sorokin4v5
  33. P2 1:10Goal by Hedman (Point, Vasilevskiy)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Greene, Bailey, Cizikas, Dobson · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  34. P2 2:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 4:53Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 5:24Lee: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Greene, Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Hutton · TBL Killorn, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  37. P2 6:29Shot by Sergachev, saved by Sorokin4v5
  38. P2 6:36Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  39. P2 8:02Shot by Hagel, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 8:51Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 9:25Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 9:47Goal by Killorn (Cirelli)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Cirelli, Sergachev

  43. P2 9:56Shot by Rutta, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 10:37Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Martin, Johnston, Barzal, Dobson · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  45. P2 10:37Rutta: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Martin, Johnston, Barzal, Dobson · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  46. P2 10:37Perry: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Martin, Johnston, Barzal, Dobson · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  47. P2 12:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  48. P2 12:18Shot by Dobson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  49. P2 14:01Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 14:13Shot by Foote, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 14:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 16:29Shot by Bailey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:34Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 0:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 1:33Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 7:02Shot by Martin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 7:31Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 8:27Shot by Paul, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 9:10Shot by Colton, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 9:10Shot by Colton, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 9:10Goal by Colton (Sergachev)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Wahlstrom · TBL Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev, Colton, Hagel

  64. P3 9:39Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 10:04Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 10:06Shot by Maroon, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 10:08Shot by Maroon, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 11:55Palmieri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Bailey, Palmieri, Pageau, Dobson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  69. P3 13:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov4v5
  70. P3 13:59Point: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Greene, Palmieri, Cizikas, Dobson · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  71. P3 14:03Shot by Dobson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  72. P3 15:01Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  73. P3 16:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 16:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 16:56Goal by Sergachev (Stamkos, Kucherov)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Hutton · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev

  76. P3 17:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final