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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 27, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–PointPaul–Colton–HagelPerry–Maroon–BellemareKillorn–Palat–CirelliKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliKucherov–Point–HagelBellemare–Cirelli–HagelCernak–SergachevBogosian–FooteHedman–RuttaSergachev–FooteHedman–CernakHedman–FooteBogosian–Sergachev
Lee–Nelson–Beauvillier1:030.00–0.001:250.00–0.085:590.10–0.200:520.05–0.272:500.12–0.112:060.00–0.074:220.10–0.100:540.00–0.000:440.11–0.27
Bailey–Palmieri–Pageau4:330.44–0.130:560.03–0.000:460.00–0.001:050.14–0.003:500.36–0.131:000.14–0.002:440.08–0.00
Parise–Barzal–Wahlstrom0:390.04–0.004:110.22–0.030:590.05–0.030:480.00–0.002:340.11–0.652:310.04–0.042:490.17–0.13
Martin–Cizikas–Johnston1:110.00–0.570:580.10–0.004:050.03–0.870:460.00–0.494:450.12–0.860:560.00–0.09
Cizikas–Johnston–Beauvillier0:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.060:320.00–0.00
Chara–Dobson1:010.04–0.003:360.46–0.122:340.00–0.295:110.05–0.060:470.00–0.002:480.11–0.293:590.04–0.065:310.16–0.100:420.24–0.001:040.00–0.090:490.00–0.00
Pelech–Pulock5:510.44–0.211:050.12–0.000:580.03–0.000:460.00–0.080:520.05–0.270:590.14–0.005:530.48–0.792:270.26–0.071:400.08–0.080:420.03–0.001:240.11–0.27
Greene–Hutton0:510.18–0.002:590.00–0.033:570.05–0.981:130.00–0.110:480.00–0.002:190.18–0.184:200.00–0.864:080.14–0.150:410.00–0.06
Pelech–Hutton1:080.00–0.491:020.00–0.490:460.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBeauvillier FLee FNelson FParise FBarzal FWahlstrom FPalmieri FPageau FBailey FMartin FJohnston FCizikas FDobson DChara DPulock DPelech DGreene DHutton DSorokin GVarlamov GKillorn FPalat FCirelli FPaul FHagel FColton FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FRutta DHedman DCernak DSergachev DBogosian DFoote DVasilevskiy G
NYITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2724:340:551:5124
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:030:511:1967
Adam PelechNYI2720:580:471:3535
Noah DobsonNYI2420:330:512:0726
Zdeno CharaNYI2720:160:451:1818
Ryan PulockNYI2518:560:451:3444
Alex KillornTBL2218:530:522:3143
Anders LeeNYI2218:500:511:4271
Nikita KucherovTBL2218:390:511:3551
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2218:150:501:4561
Brock NelsonNYI2118:100:521:4372
Erik CernakTBL2417:420:441:4535
Andy GreeneNYI2517:410:421:1824
Steven StamkosTBL2117:370:501:4162
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2217:360:481:4553
Brayden PointTBL2117:350:501:2751
Jan RuttaTBL2216:580:461:2025
Grant HuttonNYI2216:460:461:2322
Cal FooteTBL2016:140:492:0130
Josh BaileyNYI2416:050:401:1237
Anthony CirelliTBL2316:010:421:2745
Zach PariseNYI2415:530:401:0545
Zach BogosianTBL1915:360:491:5932
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2215:170:421:2214
Casey CizikasNYI2315:100:401:1609
Mathew BarzalNYI1914:580:471:5943
Brandon HagelTBL1714:230:511:5652
Corey PerryTBL1913:550:441:1621
Ondrej PalatTBL1913:000:411:2132
Kyle PalmieriNYI1812:260:411:1933
Nick PaulTBL1912:200:391:0252
Ross ColtonTBL1611:490:441:2861
Patrick MaroonTBL1411:240:491:1931
Oliver WahlstromNYI1610:370:401:1543
Ross JohnstonNYI149:280:411:2003
Matt MartinNYI149:270:411:1304