Sun, Mar 27, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
30%
56%
NYI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24:34 | 0.32 | 56.5% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.33 | 64.8% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.60 | 66.9% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:39 | 0.25 | 49.0% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.01 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.26 | 58.3% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.29 | 45.6% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.03 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.02 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.01 | 69.6% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 93.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.01 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.48 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.07 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.10 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 11:49 | 0.82 | 61.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:24 | 0.76 | 94.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 3.48 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 35.0% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.06 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.08 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:50 | 0.84 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.06 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.33 | 38.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.45 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.22 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.26 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.10 | 8.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.38 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.56 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.08 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.00 | 7.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:27 | 0.06 | 9.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 2.16 | +0.2 | 40:00 | |
| – | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 2.21 | +0.2 | 20:00 |