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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 31, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 92% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wheeler–Sanford–DuboisStastny–Scheifele–EhlersLowry–Svechnikov–AppletonToninato–Harkins–BarronPionk–HeinolaDeMelo–MorrisseyDillon–StanleyMorrissey–HeinolaDillon–PionkDeMelo–StanleyMorrissey–Pionk
Tavares–Kerfoot–Mikheyev6:090.21–0.030:580.13–0.221:190.33–0.000:420.00–0.004:510.45–0.222:470.00–0.090:430.00–0.00
Bunting–Marner–Matthews1:460.00–0.234:160.14–0.180:460.00–0.001:140.04–0.003:500.05–0.272:010.10–0.000:410.00–0.22
Nylander–Engvall–Kampf1:350.15–0.003:270.13–0.371:090.12–0.072:440.13–0.001:100.22–0.232:410.12–0.230:390.00–0.00
Spezza–Simmonds–Clifford0:590.17–0.002:070.06–0.001:240.00–0.070:550.06–0.001:410.15–0.071:040.00–0.00
Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev0:480.00–0.001:160.01–0.080:530.05–0.001:160.01–0.08
Brodie–Rielly6:160.18–0.024:390.17–0.510:360.00–0.074:400.17–0.225:370.43–0.311:350.00–0.140:490.03–0.000:430.00–0.00
Giordano–Holl3:270.15–0.323:060.10–0.230:520.11–0.001:050.00–0.024:160.15–0.081:290.15–0.252:050.07–0.021:450.00–0.01
Dahlstrom–Liljegren1:260.21–0.001:460.10–0.053:170.39–0.181:580.00–0.081:000.35–0.002:010.00–0.033:350.16–0.150:580.00–0.08
Giordano–Liljegren0:520.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:520.00–0.05
Holl–Dahlstrom0:560.06–0.000:420.06–0.000:350.06–0.00
Brodie–Holl0:410.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Giordano–Rielly0:300.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKerfoot FMikheyev FTavares FMatthews FBunting FMarner FEngvall FKampf FNylander FSpezza FSimmonds FClifford FHoll DGiordano DRielly DBrodie DDahlstrom DLiljegren DKallgren GSanford FWheeler FDubois FStastny FEhlers FScheifele FLowry FSvechnikov FAppleton FToninato FHarkins FBarron FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DHeinola DDillon DStanley DComrie G
TORWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG3024:350:492:0228
Morgan RiellyTOR2323:561:022:2152
TJ BrodieTOR2722:470:511:3434
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2621:490:501:4852
Blake WheelerWPG2521:120:511:2751
Mitch MarnerTOR2320:560:552:2154
Neal PionkWPG2420:540:521:3513
Dylan DeMeloWPG2920:470:431:2129
Mark ScheifeleWPG1820:311:081:4231
Paul StastnyWPG2220:230:562:0227
John TavaresTOR2120:150:582:2360
Mark GiordanoTOR2720:090:451:2632
Auston MatthewsTOR2019:420:592:2163
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1919:251:012:0151
Justin HollTOR2819:180:411:2845
William NylanderTOR2018:090:542:0572
Ilya MikheyevTOR2617:570:411:1252
Ville HeinolaWPG2317:320:461:3104
Zachary SanfordWPG2217:180:471:2323
David KampfTOR2416:580:421:0827
Logan StanleyWPG2316:070:421:0635
Brenden DillonWPG2415:570:401:1023
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2115:450:451:2712
Alexander KerfootTOR2415:330:391:1333
Pierre EngvallTOR1914:060:451:1723
Mason AppletonWPG2013:310:411:1025
Michael BuntingTOR1813:060:441:1032
Adam LowryWPG1912:410:401:0426
Carl DahlstromTOR1812:320:421:1211
Jason SpezzaTOR1810:020:330:5531
Evgeny SvechnikovWPG148:530:381:0112
Dominic ToninatoWPG168:300:321:1314
Wayne SimmondsTOR137:130:331:0430
Jansen HarkinsWPG116:360:361:0010
Kyle CliffordTOR136:010:281:0330
Morgan BarronWPG105:030:301:0110