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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 12, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Matthews: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  3. P1 2:08Shot by Okposo, saved by Kallgren4v5
  4. P1 2:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Kallgren
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 4:44Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson6v5
  7. P1 4:48Bryson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews, Mikheyev · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Bryson

  8. P1 5:26Rielly: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · BUF Tuch, Fitzgerald, Dahlin, Cozens

  9. P1 7:25Goal by Okposo (Olofsson, Dahlin)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Kampf, Mikheyev · BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens

  10. P1 9:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kallgren
  11. P1 11:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 12:15Shot by Skinner, saved by Kallgren
  13. P1 13:48Cozens: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · BUF Hinostroza, Hayden, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  14. P1 15:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 16:24Shot by Liljegren, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 17:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Kallgren
  17. P1 19:13Shot by Liljegren, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 19:54Shot by Kampf, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 2:09Goal by Liljegren (Nylander, Rielly)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf · BUF Hinostroza, Hayden, Fitzgerald, Bryson, Cozens

  23. P2 3:15Shot by Krebs, saved by Kallgren
  24. P2 3:57Shot by Tuch, saved by Kallgren
  25. P2 5:28Shot by Bryson, saved by Kallgren
  26. P2 6:14Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 7:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 7:13Shot by Giordano, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 8:04Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner, Lyubushkin · BUF Hinostroza, Tuch, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens

  30. P2 8:43Shot by Cozens, saved by Kallgren4v5
  31. P2 9:11Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Jokiharju)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Engvall, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  32. P2 9:35Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 12:17Shot by Krebs, saved by Kallgren
  34. P2 12:49Shot by Hayden, saved by Kallgren
  35. P2 13:10Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 13:13Shot by Liljegren, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 13:31Hinostroza: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · BUF Hinostroza, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  38. P2 14:27Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kallgren5v4
  39. P2 15:10Spezza: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Liljegren · BUF Okposo, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  40. P2 15:26Shot by Holl, saved by Anderson4v4
  41. P2 16:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Kallgren4v5
  42. P2 18:35Shot by Thompson, saved by Kallgren
  43. P2 19:20Shot by Okposo, saved by Kallgren
  44. P2 19:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Kallgren
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:33Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kallgren
  48. P3 2:57Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 3:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 4:09Goal by Skinner (Tuch)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  51. P3 4:57Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Kallgren
  52. P3 5:43Goal by Dahlin (Olofsson, Asplund)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Giordano, Blackwell, Kerfoot, Lyubushkin · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  53. P3 6:26Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 6:41Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Blackwell, Marner, Abruzzese · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Bryson

  55. P3 7:39Shot by Abruzzese, saved by Anderson5v4
  56. P3 8:53Goal by Kerfoot (Rielly, Engvall)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson

  57. P3 10:38Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 14:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 15:07Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kallgren
  60. P3 16:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson6v5
  61. P3 17:42Goal by Asplund, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · BUF Tuch, Asplund, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  62. P3 17:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kallgren
  63. P3 19:01Shot by Hayden, saved by Kallgren
  64. P3 19:36Shot by Hayden, saved by Kallgren
  65. P3 19:38Shot by Cozens, saved by Kallgren
  66. P3 19:39Hayden: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Blackwell, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall · BUF Skinner, Hayden, Fitzgerald, Cozens, Power

  67. P3 19:56Shot by Spezza, saved by Anderson5v4
  68. P3 19:58Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson5v4
  69. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  70. P3 0:00Final