Tue, Apr 12, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
8%
53%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:33 | 0.12 | 57.0% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:41 | 0.00 | 33.2% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.01 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.02 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:16 | 0.25 | 47.5% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:06 | 0.32 | 55.4% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.17 | 44.7% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:36 | 0.12 | 20.0% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.01 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:00 | 1.08 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.19 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.04 | 82.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.08 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.75 | 67.9% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.03 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.10 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 5:51 | 0.24 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.93 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.18 | 60.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.00 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:38 | 0.27 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.02 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.06 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:09 | 0.50 | 71.3% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.08 | 68.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.05 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.01 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.47 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.20 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.25 | 25.9% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.46 | 60.9% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.05 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.06 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.23 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.03 | −2.0 | 58:35 |