Tue, Apr 12, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
8%
53%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt | Hinostroza–Hayden–Cozens | Okposo–Girgensons–Cozens | Girgensons–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | Skinner–Hinostroza–Cozens | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Jokiharju–Power | Fitzgerald–Bryson | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Samuelsson–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 1:250.05–0.02 | 3:020.06–0.05 | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:570.33–0.00 | 1:590.06–0.00 | 4:380.11–0.07 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Mikheyev | 2:070.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 1:270.00–0.09 | 1:120.00–0.07 | 2:080.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Spezza–Blackwell–Abruzzese | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.10 | 1:090.01–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Mikheyev | 1:180.11–0.07 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.06 | 1:320.11–0.07 | 1:110.00–0.07 | |||||||
| Nylander–Engvall–Kampf | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:170.02–0.07 | 0:380.38–0.00 | 1:460.02–0.07 | 0:570.17–0.00 | |||||||
| Kerfoot–Nylander–Engvall | 1:570.00–0.02 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Blackwell–Bunting–Matthews | 0:320.00–0.05 | 0:540.00–0.05 | 0:480.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:460.10–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:460.10–0.00 | ||||||||
| Spezza–Kampf–Abruzzese | 0:490.00–0.08 | 0:440.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Nylander–Marner–Matthews | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Marner | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:520.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 2:460.23–0.05 | 2:480.06–0.01 | 3:180.00–0.02 | 1:490.17–0.00 | 0:570.33–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.00 | 4:510.18–0.16 | 6:150.01–0.09 | 1:460.51–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||
| Brodie–Holl | 2:390.10–0.09 | 3:480.17–0.14 | 2:060.09–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:120.21–0.15 | 4:340.45–0.16 | 2:570.10–0.07 | |||||
| Giordano–Lyubushkin | 2:300.05–0.05 | 0:550.07–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.03 | 3:430.07–0.20 | 1:020.05–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.05 | |||||
| Giordano–Rielly | 0:410.20–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:470.20–0.04 | |||||||||
| Holl–Liljegren | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 33 | 24:33 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 4 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 31 | 23:41 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 33 | 23:20 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 7 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 23:09 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 5 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 21:50 | 1:00 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 21:38 | 1:02 | 2:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 20:27 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 1 | 6 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 19:50 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 3 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 19:15 | 0:55 | 1:48 | 5 | 1 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 3 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 19:03 | 0:57 | 1:39 | 3 | 0 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 18:47 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 0 | 6 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 23 | 18:39 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 1 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 18:16 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 5 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 18:06 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 18:00 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 5 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 17:36 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 6 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 24 | 16:48 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 19 | 16:09 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 24 | 15:48 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 4 | 4 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 19 | 15:19 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 14:34 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 0 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 14:25 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 13:19 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 20 | 13:08 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 13:02 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 18 | 12:51 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 18 | 12:32 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 0 | 8 |
 Ilya LyubushkinTOR | 19 | 12:27 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 0 | 5 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 18 | 11:04 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 4 | 1 |
 Colin BlackwellTOR | 13 | 9:50 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 15 | 9:20 | 0:37 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 14 | 9:12 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick AbruzzeseTOR | 12 | 9:00 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 John HaydenBUF | 9 | 5:51 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |