Sat, Apr 16, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Ottawa Senators 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
14%
75%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 25:42 | 0.16 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 23:49 | 0.38 | 65.6% | +30.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.53 | 60.6% | +55.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 21:29 | 0.12 | 66.4% | +79.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.03 | 50.3% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:46 | 0.04 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.06 | 65.3% | +52.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 18:51 | 1.33 | 65.7% | +43.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.80 | 61.1% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.02 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.14 | 59.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.27 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.21 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.12 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.25 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.06 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:32 | 0.10 | 30.2% | +13.0 |
| W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.50 | −1.5 | 63:26 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:43 | 0.05 | 49.8% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 22:09 | 0.06 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:55 | 0.49 | 62.9% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.23 | 61.6% | +12.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.81 | 42.3% | +49.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.02 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.05 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.33 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:26 | 0.24 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.02 | 78.6% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.01 | 16.1% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.17 | 21.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 25.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.02 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:46 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:14 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:42 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 4.62 | −0.4 | 63:26 |