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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 21, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 8

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Hagel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Lyubushkin

  3. P1 1:09Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  4. P1 1:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  5. P1 2:06Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  6. P1 2:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Kallgren4v5
  7. P1 2:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kallgren
  8. P1 2:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kallgren
  9. P1 5:29Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 7:36Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kallgren
  11. P1 9:16Bunting: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Foote · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Bunting

  12. P1 9:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kallgren5v4
  13. P1 11:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 13:07Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 13:38Shot by Palat, saved by Kallgren
  16. P1 15:59Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 16:18Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 17:01Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 17:16Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:30Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 17:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 18:36Shot by Brodie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 19:13Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kallgren
  24. P1 19:29Shot by Spezza, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 19:53Hedman: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Clifford, Rielly, Marner, Lyubushkin

  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:25Shot by Blackwell, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  29. P2 2:57Shot by Palat, saved by Kallgren
  30. P2 3:04Shot by Brodie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 3:31Shot by Hagel, saved by Kallgren
  32. P2 3:54Goal by Killorn (Cernak, Hagel)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Bunting, Marner, Liljegren

  33. P2 4:48Shot by Colton, saved by Kallgren
  34. P2 5:39Shot by Bogosian, saved by Kallgren
  35. P2 7:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Kallgren
  36. P2 8:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Kallgren
  37. P2 8:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 8:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 9:12Shot by Giordano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 9:44Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 10:24Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 11:03Shot by Palat, saved by Kallgren
  43. P2 11:37Goal by Colton (Paul, Perry)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · TOR Blackwell, Rielly, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev

  44. P2 12:25Spezza: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Kucherov, Bellemare, Rutta · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Holl, Kampf

  45. P2 12:33Shot by Killorn, saved by Kallgren5v4
  46. P2 12:38Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · TOR Brodie, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  47. P2 13:17Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kallgren
  48. P2 13:38Shot by Clifford, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 13:42Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 14:16Lyubushkin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Foote · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Engvall, Lyubushkin

  51. P2 15:03Shot by Perry, saved by Kallgren5v4
  52. P2 15:07Goal by Kucherov (Perry, Killorn)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kampf, Mikheyev

  53. P2 15:22Shot by McDonagh, saved by Kallgren
  54. P2 15:22Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Liljegren

  55. P2 15:22Giordano: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Liljegren

  56. P2 15:22Hagel: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Liljegren

  57. P2 15:22Tavares: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Liljegren

  58. P2 15:38Kerfoot: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Bellemare, Cernak · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Marner, Lyubushkin

  59. P2 15:38Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Bellemare, Cernak · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Marner, Lyubushkin

  60. P2 15:54Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  61. P2 18:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Kallgren
  62. P2 18:08Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P2 19:29Simmonds: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Rutta · TOR Simmonds, Clifford, Holl, Rielly, Nylander

  64. P2 19:29Maroon: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Rutta · TOR Simmonds, Clifford, Holl, Rielly, Nylander

  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 1:12Goal by Palat (Sergachev, Stamkos)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev, Rutta · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Engvall

  69. P3 2:47Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 3:18Bunting: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Bunting, Engvall, Lyubushkin

  71. P3 4:05Shot by Killorn, saved by Kallgren5v4
  72. P3 4:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kallgren5v4
  73. P3 4:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Kallgren5v4
  74. P3 4:33Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Hedman)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · TOR Brodie, Holl, Marner, Mikheyev

  75. P3 5:07Foote: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Paul, Colton, Foote · TOR Spezza, Giordano, Simmonds, Clifford, Rielly

  76. P3 5:17Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  77. P3 5:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  78. P3 7:01Shot by Paul, saved by Kallgren4v5
  79. P3 7:01Paul: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta · TOR Blackwell, Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Marner

  80. P3 7:01Blackwell: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta · TOR Blackwell, Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Marner

  81. P3 7:01Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta · TOR Blackwell, Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Marner

  82. P3 7:13Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  83. P3 7:45Goal by Mikheyev (Spezza, Giordano)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Sergachev, Hagel, Rutta · TOR Spezza, Giordano, Simmonds, Engvall, Mikheyev

  84. P3 8:07Shot by McDonagh, saved by Kallgren
  85. P3 8:10Clifford: Match penatly 10 minutes (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Colton, Rutta · TOR Clifford, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  86. P3 8:10Perry: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Colton, Rutta · TOR Clifford, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  87. P3 8:10Perry: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Colton, Rutta · TOR Clifford, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  88. P3 8:10Rielly: Roughing (2 min)3v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Colton, Rutta · TOR Clifford, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  89. P3 8:50Goal by Colton (Palat, McDonagh)4v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Cernak, Colton · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Nylander

  90. P3 9:53Killorn: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Colton, Foote · TOR Brodie, Engvall, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev

  91. P3 9:53Mikheyev: Slashing (2 min)3v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Colton, Foote · TOR Brodie, Engvall, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev

  92. P3 11:26Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  93. P3 12:01Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  94. P3 12:38Shot by Colton, saved by Kallgren5v4
  95. P3 13:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Kallgren
  96. P3 14:11Goal by Maroon (Palat, Colton)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Palat, Sergachev, Colton, Foote · TOR Simmonds, Tavares, Holl, Bunting, Lyubushkin

  97. P3 14:31Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  98. P3 15:48Maroon: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Brodie, Kampf, Mikheyev

  99. P3 15:48Simmonds: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Brodie, Kampf, Mikheyev

  100. P3 15:59Shot by Bogosian, saved by Kallgren
  101. P3 16:27Shot by Killorn, saved by Kallgren
  102. P3 17:02Bunting: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Palat, Cirelli, Rutta · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  103. P3 17:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  104. P3 17:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  105. P3 18:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Vasilevskiy
  106. P3 19:10Foote: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Foote · TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev

  107. P3 19:10Foote: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Foote · TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev

  108. P3 19:10Kerfoot: Cross checking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Foote · TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev

  109. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  110. P3 0:00Final