Thu, Apr 21, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
65%
22%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.09 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.11 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 20:08 | 0.36 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.28 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.03 | 14.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 16:50 | 0.59 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:30 | 0.57 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.20 | 18.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.11 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.03 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.05 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.43 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.16 | 23.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.00 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.08 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.04 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 28 | 8 | .778 | 4.69 | −3.3 | 59:50 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.09 | 63.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:58 | 0.48 | 55.3% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.02 | 55.9% | +0.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 18:46 | 0.90 | 54.7% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.02 | 48.3% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.55 | 64.7% | +5.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.57 | 59.2% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.05 | 66.0% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.20 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 16:24 | 0.52 | 62.3% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.39 | 58.2% | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 15:26 | 0.36 | 37.7% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.23 | 35.8% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.04 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.20 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.08 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.14 | +2.1 | 60:00 |