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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 21, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Bunting–MarnerKerfoot–Nylander–EngvallSpezza–Simmonds–CliffordBlackwell–Kampf–MikheyevKerfoot–Engvall–KampfRielly–LyubushkinBrodie–HollGiordano–LiljegrenHoll–RiellyRielly–LiljegrenGiordano–Lyubushkin
Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov3:130.27–0.251:230.20–0.060:370.00–0.001:080.27–0.002:160.07–0.283:280.46–0.162:020.21–0.000:300.00–0.07
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel5:570.32–0.143:360.23–0.071:460.00–0.001:560.27–0.000:310.00–0.00
Perry–Paul–Colton0:510.00–0.091:210.00–0.103:070.08–0.003:520.04–0.190:440.00–0.182:530.15–0.00
Maroon–Kucherov–Bellemare0:460.00–0.020:490.00–0.020:450.00–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Colton0:320.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak6:290.37–0.180:300.00–0.043:510.23–0.001:480.00–0.071:170.18–0.000:450.00–0.00
Bogosian–Sergachev0:350.00–0.142:380.25–0.000:410.08–0.001:090.00–0.142:450.25–0.000:420.08–0.07
McDonagh–Foote1:010.16–0.000:340.00–0.002:240.00–0.000:390.07–0.003:410.10–0.00
McDonagh–Rutta1:190.00–0.170:520.11–0.001:500.07–0.230:530.11–0.000:320.11–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:460.05–0.000:450.00–0.001:480.05–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta2:130.11–0.450:410.00–0.022:110.33–0.40
McDonagh–Bogosian0:590.00–0.001:000.08–0.05
Bogosian–Rutta0:420.00–0.001:030.11–0.10
McDonagh–Cernak0:540.00–0.090:470.00–0.09
Cernak–Foote0:320.00–0.000:360.11–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FHagel FCirelli FPaul FBellemare FStamkos FPalat FKucherov FPerry FColton FMaroon FHedman DCernak DMcDonagh DSergachev DRutta DFoote DBogosian DVasilevskiy GMarner FBunting FTavares FNylander FBlackwell FSpezza FMikheyev FKerfoot FEngvall FKampf FSimmonds FClifford FRielly DLyubushkin DLiljegren DGiordano DHoll DBrodie DKallgren G
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2521:470:522:0831
Justin HollTOR2520:430:501:3813
TJ BrodieTOR2520:170:491:2703
Mitch MarnerTOR2320:080:532:0851
Ryan McDonaghTBL2720:050:452:1816
Victor HedmanTBL2219:580:541:5732
Mikhail SergachevTBL2619:350:451:2906
Alex KillornTBL2418:460:472:2038
Erik CernakTBL2418:420:471:4607
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2518:300:441:2731
Steven StamkosTBL2318:090:471:3522
Nikita KucherovTBL2117:590:511:3242
Michael BuntingTOR2117:500:512:0850
Brandon HagelTBL2717:390:391:2906
Mark GiordanoTOR2517:340:421:3841
John TavaresTOR2016:500:512:0860
Anthony CirelliTBL2316:480:441:3506
Pierre EngvallTOR2116:300:471:3041
Ondrej PalatTBL1916:240:521:3802
Ilya MikheyevTOR1815:550:531:3133
Corey PerryTBL1715:390:551:2431
William NylanderTOR1815:320:521:5460
Ross ColtonTBL2215:260:421:0713
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2215:260:421:2931
David KampfTOR1715:220:541:2703
Nick PaulTBL1814:580:501:2513
Alexander KerfootTOR2113:520:401:3121
Jason SpezzaTOR1813:450:461:3960
Zach BogosianTBL1513:090:531:4202
Patrick MaroonTBL1411:590:511:5200
Cal FooteTBL1711:480:421:1313
Jan RuttaTBL1711:260:401:1415
Wayne SimmondsTOR1310:240:481:2420
Colin BlackwellTOR1210:080:511:2730
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL159:560:401:2204
Kyle CliffordTOR118:180:451:2500