Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 23, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 86% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:07Shot by Bellows, saved by Tokarski
  5. P1 3:38Shot by Okposo, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 3:39Chara: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Asplund, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power · NYI Chara, Parise, Palmieri, Cizikas, Pulock

  7. P1 5:48Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens, Power · NYI Chara, Palmieri, Lee, Pelech, Pulock

  8. P1 6:24Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sorokin5v4
  9. P1 6:53Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Sorokin5v4
  10. P1 8:13Shot by Palmieri, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 9:16Shot by Bellows, saved by Tokarski
  12. P1 9:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 9:34Cozens: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Asplund, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · NYI Greene, Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Aho

  14. P1 12:11Goal by Mittelstadt (Okposo, Fitzgerald)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Bryson · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Aho

  15. P1 12:24Shot by Okposo, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 12:54Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 12:57Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 15:48Shot by Johnston, saved by Tokarski
  19. P1 16:38Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 17:09Goal by Barzal (Dobson, Aho)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Barzal, Aho, Dobson

  21. P1 17:31Shot by Lee, saved by Tokarski
  22. P1 19:35Pelech: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  23. P1 19:59Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sorokin5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:17Goal by Dahlin (Skinner, Tuch)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · NYI Parise, Greene, Nelson, Dobson

  27. P2 2:53Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 3:08Shot by Lee, saved by Tokarski
  29. P2 4:05Goal by Thompson (Bryson, Olofsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Bryson · NYI Greene, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Dobson

  30. P2 6:26Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Tokarski
  31. P2 7:45Skinner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  32. P2 9:17Shot by Bellows, saved by Tokarski4v5
  33. P2 11:44Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 12:01Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 12:22Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 12:48Goal by Hinostroza (Bjork, Girgensons)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Hinostroza, Bjork, Jokiharju, Power · NYI Pulock, Bellows, Koivula, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  37. P2 14:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 14:49Aho: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Hinostroza, Bjork, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · NYI Greene, Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Aho

  39. P2 16:47Shot by Pelech, saved by Tokarski5v4
  40. P2 17:24Shot by Pulock, saved by Tokarski
  41. P2 17:55Shot by Bryson, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 18:07Shot by Bjork, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:03Shot by Palmieri, saved by Tokarski
  46. P3 3:19Shot by Pelech, saved by Tokarski
  47. P3 4:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Sorokin
  48. P3 5:39Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sorokin
  49. P3 6:42Shot by Power, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 7:18Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 7:54Shot by Asplund, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 8:45Goal by Dobson (Parise, Chara)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Krebs · NYI Bailey, Lee, Barzal, Aho, Dobson

  53. P3 9:54Shot by Bellows, saved by Tokarski
  54. P3 10:05Shot by Pulock, saved by Tokarski
  55. P3 10:12Shot by Pulock, saved by Tokarski
  56. P3 10:17Shot by Koivula, saved by Tokarski
  57. P3 10:22Goal by Bellows (Pulock, Koivula)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Krebs · NYI Pelech, Pulock, Bellows, Koivula, Wahlstrom

  58. P3 12:38Shot by Thompson, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 12:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 12:40Goal by Skinner (Thompson, Olofsson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock

  61. P3 13:58Shot by Asplund, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 14:23Shot by Pulock, saved by Tokarski
  63. P3 14:40Johnston: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Dobson

  64. P3 14:40Skinner: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Dobson

  65. P3 14:40Pelech: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Dobson

  66. P3 14:40Pelech: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Dobson

  67. P3 14:40Skinner: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Dobson

  68. P3 14:40Martin: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Power · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Dobson

  69. P3 15:41Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin5v4
  70. P3 15:43Shot by Olofsson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  71. P3 16:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin5v4
  72. P3 16:59Parise: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Bjork, Dahlin, Power · NYI Parise, Martin, Pulock, Barzal, Aho

  73. P3 17:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  74. P3 19:08Shot by Parise, saved by Tokarski5v6
  75. P3 19:59Shot by Palmieri, saved by Tokarski5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  77. P3 0:00Final