Sat, Apr 23, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 86% of the time.
80%
8%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bailey–Lee–Nelson | Parise–Palmieri–Barzal | Bellows–Koivula–Wahlstrom | Martin–Cizikas–Johnston | Martin–Palmieri–Barzal | Parise–Martin–Barzal | Cizikas–Johnston–Bellows | Bailey–Lee–Barzal | Chara–Dobson | Pelech–Pulock | Greene–Aho | Chara–Pelech | Pulock–Aho | Pelech–Dobson | Greene–Dobson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson | 3:370.61–0.04 | 2:500.15–0.03 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 2:530.08–0.00 | 3:270.60–0.15 | 1:470.08–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Girgensons–Hinostroza–Bjork | 1:180.02–0.00 | 3:580.18–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 3:060.01–0.03 | 2:400.02–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Asplund–Cozens | 0:540.11–0.00 | 3:320.15–0.00 | 1:290.09–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:300.20–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 1:430.16–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:480.13–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–Mittelstadt–Krebs | 2:210.06–0.04 | 1:480.00–0.36 | 0:480.00–0.09 | 1:500.06–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.42 | 1:460.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Okposo–Asplund–Mittelstadt | 1:050.37–0.00 | 1:050.37–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:330.14–0.04 | 3:200.39–0.07 | 0:480.02–0.05 | 2:130.09–0.00 | 6:370.39–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.12 | 4:050.25–0.05 | ||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 2:360.01–0.04 | 2:570.16–0.08 | 2:070.16–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 0:550.16–0.00 | 6:450.01–0.15 | 3:040.01–0.01 | ||||||
| Fitzgerald–Bryson | 1:530.06–0.00 | 0:410.21–0.00 | 2:270.04–0.00 | 1:360.12–0.09 | 3:040.33–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.09 | 1:130.01–0.11 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:500.15–0.00 | |||||
| Bryson–Power | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Fitzgerald–Jokiharju | 0:560.00–0.34 | 0:400.04–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.34 | 0:460.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 24:05 | 0:48 | 1:55 | 7 | 4 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 26 | 23:32 | 0:54 | 2:05 | 1 | 3 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 25 | 22:06 | 0:53 | 2:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 24 | 21:50 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 2 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 21:11 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 26 | 20:58 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 4 | 6 |
 Zdeno CharaNYI | 23 | 20:27 | 0:53 | 1:55 | 1 | 6 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 19:43 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 3 | 4 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 22 | 19:34 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 19:15 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 5 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 18:33 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 6 | 2 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 19 | 18:29 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 1 | 2 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 21 | 17:49 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 17:41 | 0:56 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 22 | 17:22 | 0:47 | 2:01 | 4 | 1 |
 Zach PariseNYI | 25 | 17:11 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 17:08 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Andy GreeneNYI | 25 | 16:41 | 0:40 | 2:01 | 0 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 18 | 16:40 | 0:56 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 19 | 16:31 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 7 | 0 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 17 | 15:47 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 5 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 16 | 15:37 | 0:59 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 19 | 15:01 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 6 | 3 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 22 | 14:38 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 1 | 6 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 15 | 13:30 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 0 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoNYI | 19 | 12:49 | 0:40 | 2:01 | 0 | 0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 19 | 12:26 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 12:21 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 20 | 12:14 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Oliver WahlstromNYI | 15 | 12:04 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Kieffer BellowsNYI | 15 | 11:34 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 0 | 1 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 16 | 11:26 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 15 | 11:05 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 17 | 10:47 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Otto KoivulaNYI | 15 | 10:15 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 0 | 0 |
 Ross JohnstonNYI | 11 | 7:09 | 0:39 | 0:54 | 1 | 0 |