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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 12, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Montréal Canadiens 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen
  3. P1 1:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen
  4. P1 2:07Giordano: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Dadonov, Wideman, Evans, Pitlick, Xhekaj · TOR Giordano, Aube-Kubel, Aston-Reese, Kampf, Sandin

  5. P1 4:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  6. P1 5:26Shot by Caufield, saved by Murray6v5
  7. P1 5:35Shot by Harris, saved by Murray6v5
  8. P1 5:37Bunting: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Wideman, Gallagher, Anderson, Suzuki, Harris, Caufield · TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting, Malgin, Sandin

  9. P1 5:44Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen5v4
  10. P1 6:08Shot by Caufield, saved by Murray5v4
  11. P1 6:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Murray5v4
  12. P1 10:45Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Murray
  13. P1 11:02Shot by Harris, saved by Murray
  14. P1 11:41Goal by Bunting (Marner, Brodie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  15. P1 11:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Allen
  16. P1 12:59Sandin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Dvorak, Kovacevic, Harris, Slafkovský · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin

  17. P1 13:13Shot by Suzuki, saved by Murray5v4
  18. P1 13:45Wideman: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Wideman, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot

  19. P1 15:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen4v5
  20. P1 17:39Shot by Harris, saved by Murray
  21. P1 18:14Shot by Giordano, saved by Allen
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:33Goal by Caufield (Suzuki, Savard)+19 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  25. P2 2:06Shot by Sandin, saved by Allen
  26. P2 4:02Pitlick: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Dadonov, Wideman, Evans, Pitlick, Xhekaj · TOR Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Aube-Kubel, Kampf

  27. P2 4:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen4v5
  28. P2 6:24Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allen
  29. P2 8:19Shot by Engvall, saved by Allen
  30. P2 8:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  31. P2 9:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  32. P2 9:06Goal by Malgin (Tavares, Nylander)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Xhekaj · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin

  33. P2 9:36Shot by Dadonov, saved by Murray
  34. P2 10:21Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Murray
  35. P2 11:11Kerfoot: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Monahan, Kovacevic, Harris, Dach · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Engvall, Sandin

  36. P2 11:40Shot by Suzuki, saved by Murray5v4
  37. P2 12:34Shot by Suzuki, saved by Murray5v4
  38. P2 15:11Shot by Dvorak, saved by Murray
  39. P2 15:33Shot by Malgin, saved by Allen
  40. P2 15:56Goal by Caufield, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Suzuki, Harris, Caufield, Xhekaj · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  41. P2 16:23Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Murray
  42. P2 16:41Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen
  43. P2 17:09Shot by Dach, saved by Murray
  44. P2 17:19Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allen
  45. P2 17:20Xhekaj: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Wideman, Monahan, Dach, Xhekaj · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall

  46. P2 17:20Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allenother
  47. P2 17:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen
  48. P2 18:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:19Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  52. P3 0:59Shot by Harris, saved by Murray
  53. P3 4:01Shot by Caufield, saved by Murray
  54. P3 4:20Shot by Engvall, saved by Allen
  55. P3 4:54Shot by Monahan, saved by Murray
  56. P3 5:01Shot by Wideman, saved by Murray
  57. P3 5:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen5v6
  58. P3 5:33Monahan: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Monahan, Dach, Guhle, Xhekaj · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  59. P3 7:10Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Allen4v5
  60. P3 7:59Shot by Engvall, saved by Allen
  61. P3 8:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  62. P3 12:35Shot by Holl, saved by Allen
  63. P3 13:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  64. P3 14:04Harris: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Monahan, Kovacevic, Harris, Dach · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Engvall, Malgin

  65. P3 15:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen4v5
  66. P3 16:10Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allen
  67. P3 17:30Goal by Monahan (Harris, Dach)+38 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Monahan, Kovacevic, Harris, Dach · TOR Muzzin, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf

  68. P3 18:10Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Rielly)5v6+39 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Dadonov, Gallagher, Dvorak, Kovacevic, Guhle · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Malgin, Matthews

  69. P3 19:41Goal by Anderson (Suzuki)+44 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Engvall

  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final