Wed, Oct 12, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
25%
8%
60%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:32 | 0.06 | 60.2% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:54 | 0.57 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.00 | 69.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:00 | 0.70 | 62.6% | +61.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 60.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.02 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.13 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.13 | 59.0% | +61.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:18 | 0.57 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:09 | 0.25 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.27 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.21 | 56.3% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.53 | 64.3% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.42 | −1.6 | 59:18 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 | 0.00 | 35.2% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:24 | 0.40 | 41.1% | +62.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.15 | 53.7% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.11 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:18 | 0.60 | 41.7% | +44.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.30 | 49.7% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.07 | 49.7% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.15 | 39.8% | +43.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.04 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.10 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.05 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.15 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.17 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.08 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.50 | +0.5 | 59:47 |