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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 13, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Joseph, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:40Shot by Motte, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 3:41Jokiharju: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · OTT Holden, Motte, Joseph, Brannstrom, Pinto

  5. P1 3:55Shot by Motte, saved by Anderson4v5
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Pinto, saved by Anderson4v5
  7. P1 5:09Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg4v5
  8. P1 6:08Shot by Kastelic, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 6:16Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 6:25Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 8:22Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 8:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 8:38Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 9:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 9:35Shot by Sanderson, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 10:16Goal by Tkachuk (Batherson, Brannstrom)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka · OTT Holden, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  17. P1 11:29Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 12:54Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 13:27Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 14:09Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 14:19Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 14:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 14:54Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 15:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  25. P1 16:29Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 19:09Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 19:32Shot by Watson, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 0:00Chabot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Asplund, Samuelsson, Dahlin · OTT Watson, Chabot, Kastelic, Kelly, Zub

  29. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:21Shot by Motte, saved by Anderson5v4
  32. P2 0:50Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg5v4
  33. P2 1:58Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg5v4
  34. P2 4:15Shot by Watson, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 4:31Goal by Peterka (Cozens)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka · OTT Hamonic, Motte, Joseph, Pinto, Sanderson

  36. P2 4:55Shot by Stützle, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 5:46Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 6:23Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 6:44Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 6:58Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  41. P2 7:25Goal by Dahlin (Krebs, Okposo)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Asplund, Dahlin, Krebs, Power · OTT Giroux, Holden, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk

  42. P2 7:35Shot by Asplund, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 7:42Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 7:46DeBrincat: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Norris, Zub

  45. P2 10:32Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 10:59Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 11:09Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 11:34Lyubushkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Quinn · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Norris, Sanderson

  49. P2 12:46Samuelsson: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Asplund, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens · OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  50. P2 13:14Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson3v5
  51. P2 14:21Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg4v5
  52. P2 14:23Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  53. P2 14:43Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg4v5
  54. P2 15:20Shot by Stützle, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 17:28Chabot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Asplund, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  56. P2 18:03Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg5v4
  57. P2 19:23Mittelstadt: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · OTT Holden, Hamonic, Norris, Tkachuk

  58. P2 19:40Shot by Chabot, saved by Anderson4v5
  59. P2 19:58Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg4v5
  60. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 2:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  63. P3 2:58Shot by Holden, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 3:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 5:58Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 7:01Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 7:52Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 8:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 8:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  70. P3 9:36Joseph: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Quinn · OTT Motte, Chabot, Joseph, Pinto, Zub

  71. P3 12:09Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  72. P3 13:42Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  73. P3 14:51Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  74. P3 14:57Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  75. P3 15:20Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 15:25Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 15:29Shot by Chabot, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 15:54Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  79. P3 17:00Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  80. P3 18:01Shot by Asplund, saved by Forsberg
  81. P3 18:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson5v6
  82. P3 18:51Shot by Pinto, saved by Anderson5v6
  83. P3 19:18Goal by Olofsson, unassisted5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto

  84. P3 19:33Goal by Olofsson (Lyubushkin)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin, Lyubushkin · OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Norris, Pinto, Zub

  85. P3 19:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final