Thu, Oct 13, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
23%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–DeBrincat–Norris | Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Motte–Joseph–Pinto | Watson–Kastelic–Kelly | Chabot–Zub | Hamonic–Sanderson | Holden–Brannstrom | Chabot–Brannstrom | Chabot–Sanderson | Hamonic–Chabot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Mittelstadt–Quinn | 2:490.07–0.26 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 3:050.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 3:160.05–0.00 | 1:320.04–0.00 | 3:120.00–0.00 | 0:360.06–0.02 | ||
| Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson | 2:180.12–0.23 | 1:290.00–0.15 | 1:080.02–0.19 | 2:070.01–0.06 | 3:270.12–0.32 | 2:370.06–0.16 | 1:350.01–0.22 | |||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Asplund | 3:020.35–0.00 | 1:010.08–0.09 | 1:390.04–0.04 | 1:430.11–0.00 | 3:290.23–0.13 | 1:070.04–0.09 | 0:310.09–0.00 | |||
| Krebs–Cozens–Peterka | 0:420.00–0.12 | 2:550.04–0.20 | 1:460.25–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:510.17–0.09 | 2:110.13–0.13 | ||||
| Girgensons–Asplund–Peterka | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:480.08–0.06 | 0:480.08–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 4:180.26–0.33 | 3:080.00–0.25 | 0:570.00–0.11 | 1:270.00–0.04 | 3:250.25–0.06 | 4:300.02–0.14 | 1:430.00–0.22 | 1:570.19–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.22 | |
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 3:340.05–0.15 | 3:520.04–0.25 | 2:100.13–0.00 | 1:350.01–0.02 | 4:370.00–0.15 | 3:460.06–0.20 | 3:100.14–0.11 | |||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 2:360.31–0.02 | 3:100.19–0.08 | 0:580.04–0.00 | 2:370.15–0.02 | 3:090.35–0.08 | 2:320.04–0.11 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 1:390.08–0.00 | 0:410.08–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:330.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 24:16 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 5 | 3 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 28 | 24:16 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 2 | 2 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 29 | 22:21 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 3 | 6 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 20:53 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 27 | 20:42 | 0:46 | 2:29 | 1 | 5 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 27 | 20:33 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 22 | 19:17 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 1 | 1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 19:16 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 27 | 19:12 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 7 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 22 | 19:06 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 21 | 18:31 | 0:53 | 2:43 | 1 | 0 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 3 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 22 | 17:13 | 0:47 | 1:56 | 1 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 17:07 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 17:04 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 4 | 2 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 24 | 16:58 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 16:50 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 6 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 16:49 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 20 | 16:12 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 5 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 23 | 16:02 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 15:55 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 6 | 1 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 19 | 15:07 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 27 | 14:59 | 0:33 | 1:03 | 3 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 14:42 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyler MotteOTT | 21 | 13:52 | 0:40 | 1:29 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 21 | 13:50 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 13:29 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 5 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 18 | 13:12 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 13:09 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 19 | 12:27 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 12:19 | 0:34 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 11:55 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 5 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 14 | 11:25 | 0:49 | 2:00 | 2 | 2 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 17 | 9:42 | 0:34 | 0:56 | 0 | 3 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 18 | 9:35 | 0:32 | 0:51 | 0 | 5 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 16 | 8:49 | 0:33 | 0:53 | 0 | 1 |