Thu, Oct 13, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
23%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:16 | 0.18 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.04 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:42 | 0.12 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.20 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.06 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 19:06 | 0.57 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.07 | 74.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.10 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:13 | 0.59 | 63.3% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.01 | 50.4% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.35 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.02 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.08 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.08 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.04 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.04 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.02 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.58 | +0.6 | 59:01 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 24:16 | 0.44 | 45.1% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.20 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:04 | 0.21 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.09 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.20 | 72.3% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.31 | 50.1% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.13 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.11 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 67.0% | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 14:42 | 1.28 | 22.8% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 62.3% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.37 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:55 | 0.32 | 57.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 2.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |