Sat, Oct 15, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 88% of the time.
84%
BUF winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Verhaeghe–Barkov–Reinhart | Bennett–Balcers–Tkachuk | White–Luostarinen–Lundell | Hornqvist–Cousins–Lomberg | Cousins–White–Lomberg | Ekblad–Forsling | Staal–Montour | Gudas–Mahura | Gudas–Forsling | Montour–Forsling | Ekblad–Mahura | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Girgensons–Asplund | 2:290.00–0.16 | 1:220.00–0.11 | 1:480.00–0.01 | 1:450.10–0.04 | 3:300.00–0.13 | 2:360.10–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.12 | |||
| Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson | 5:130.12–0.29 | 1:170.00–0.22 | 3:250.12–0.32 | 1:560.01–0.00 | 1:250.08–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Krebs–Cozens–Peterka | 0:430.10–0.00 | 1:170.11–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.05 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:580.10–0.11 | 2:190.00–0.01 | 0:520.15–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.05 | |
| Tuch–Mittelstadt–Quinn | 2:450.34–0.10 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:070.16–0.00 | 0:350.12–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.10 | ||||||
| Tuch–Mittelstadt–Cozens | 2:370.10–0.28 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.28 | ||||||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Cozens | 1:110.09–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Peterka | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Quinn | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:490.00–0.04 | |||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 2:490.05–0.13 | 2:410.00–0.03 | 0:550.00–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:120.14–0.16 | 2:250.00–0.04 | 2:170.04–0.00 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:170.10–0.11 | 2:520.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.01 | 2:580.09–0.05 | 0:370.04–0.00 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 3:400.17–0.20 | 1:010.16–0.09 | 0:550.01–0.01 | 2:110.33–0.06 | 1:530.01–0.04 | 1:250.08–0.11 | 0:380.00–0.10 | ||||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 0:380.00–0.06 | 1:430.00–0.61 | 2:000.00–0.13 | 0:580.00–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:260.00–0.18 | 1:580.00–0.43 | 1:500.00–0.23 | |||
| Jokiharju–Power | 1:120.00–0.07 | 2:500.29–0.32 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.22 | 0:580.12–0.00 | 1:330.11–0.10 | 0:360.00–0.14 | ||||
| Dahlin–Lyubushkin | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 0:410.10–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 35 | 25:49 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 6 | 3 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 30 | 25:16 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 7 | 4 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 34 | 24:37 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 2 | 6 |
 Brandon MontourFLA | 27 | 21:44 | 0:48 | 2:20 | 5 | 1 |
 Aleksander BarkovFLA | 30 | 21:41 | 0:43 | 1:51 | 4 | 8 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 20:53 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 27 | 20:46 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 28 | 20:35 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 4 | 6 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 29 | 20:30 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 20:20 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 2 | 5 |
 Matthew TkachukFLA | 24 | 20:05 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 3 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 30 | 19:46 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 19:00 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 5 | 3 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 24 | 17:37 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:30 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 24 | 17:19 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 0 | 2 |
 Radko GudasFLA | 24 | 16:43 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 27 | 16:35 | 0:37 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 |
 Marc StaalFLA | 28 | 16:12 | 0:35 | 1:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 16:04 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 21 | 13:33 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 2 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 13:31 | 0:41 | 1:53 | 1 | 3 |
 Colin WhiteFLA | 18 | 13:31 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 0 | 0 |
 Rudolfs BalcersFLA | 17 | 12:04 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 3 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 18 | 12:02 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 0 | 6 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 20 | 12:00 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 2 | 5 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 19 | 11:54 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Josh MahuraFLA | 18 | 11:41 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 11:28 | 0:38 | 1:00 | 0 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 10:28 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 19 | 10:14 | 0:32 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 14 | 9:33 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 2 | 2 |
 Patric HornqvistFLA | 12 | 8:52 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan LombergFLA | 12 | 8:05 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Nick CousinsFLA | 11 | 6:53 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |