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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 15, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 1:51Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 3:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 4:30Shot by Giroux, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 4:53Shot by Engvall, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 4:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 6:33Shot by Batherson, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 7:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  10. P1 8:22Marner: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · OTT Watson, Brannstrom, Batherson, Kastelic, Tkachuk

  11. P1 9:00Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov4v5
  12. P1 9:09Goal by Pinto (Giroux, Sanderson)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kampf · OTT Giroux, Motte, DeBrincat, Pinto, Sanderson

  13. P1 9:27Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 10:00Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 11:18Shot by Hamonic, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 12:13Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 12:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 13:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 14:18Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 15:27Shot by Hamonic, saved by Samsonov
  21. P1 15:42Shot by Stützle, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 16:08Shot by Pinto, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 16:27Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Forsberg
  24. P1 17:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  25. P1 18:33Shot by Holl, saved by Forsberg
  26. P1 18:55Shot by Chabot, saved by Samsonov
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:56Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 1:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 2:28Shot by Motte, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 2:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 3:32Shot by Watson, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 6:09Shot by Giroux, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 7:02Shot by Pinto, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 7:28Stützle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall · OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  37. P2 10:29Shot by Chabot, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 12:13Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 13:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 13:05Shot by Muzzin, saved by Forsberg
  41. P2 13:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 14:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 14:23Shot by Engvall, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 15:02Kampf: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Aube-Kubel, Aston-Reese, Kampf, Sandin · OTT Hamonic, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  45. P2 15:57Shot by Chabot, saved by Samsonov4v5
  46. P2 16:59Shot by Engvall, saved by Forsberg4v5
  47. P2 17:01Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Forsberg4v5
  48. P2 19:43Goal by Kampf (Muzzin, Jarnkrok)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Kampf · OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:57Shot by Norris, saved by Samsonov
  52. P3 0:57Shot by Norris, saved by Samsonov
  53. P3 1:27Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 3:07Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 3:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  56. P3 4:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Forsberg
  57. P3 6:16Shot by Motte, saved by Samsonov
  58. P3 7:14Shot by Stützle, saved by Samsonov
  59. P3 8:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 10:28Shot by Holl, saved by Forsberg
  61. P3 10:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 11:48Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  63. P3 12:29Kelly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · OTT Watson, Chabot, Kelly, Stützle, Zub

  64. P3 13:24Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Tavares)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Norris, Sanderson

  65. P3 14:39Shot by Hamonic, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 14:49Shot by Giroux, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 14:49Goal by Giroux (DeBrincat, Chabot)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Aube-Kubel, Aston-Reese, Kampf · OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Norris, Brannstrom

  68. P3 18:05Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  69. P3 18:05Goal by Holl (Bunting, Marner)+39 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · OTT Chabot, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto

  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final