Sat, Oct 15, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
46%
9%
8%
36%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Giroux–DeBrincat–Norris | Motte–Joseph–Pinto | Watson–Kastelic–Kelly | Chabot–Zub | Hamonic–Sanderson | Zaitsev–Brannstrom | Chabot–Brannstrom | Hamonic–Brannstrom | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 2:320.02–0.10 | 2:080.18–0.03 | 1:490.36–0.09 | 2:190.07–0.00 | 8:200.46–0.24 | 1:400.03–0.00 | 2:000.28–0.00 | 0:480.25–0.00 | |
| Tavares–Nylander–Malgin | 2:470.14–0.28 | 2:580.19–0.39 | 3:010.24–0.06 | 1:500.13–0.18 | 4:080.18–0.41 | 2:240.28–0.01 | 1:260.00–0.10 | ||
| Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Engvall | 2:420.06–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 3:130.35–0.19 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:290.10–0.00 | 4:070.08–0.00 | 2:280.23–0.19 | ||
| Aube-Kubel–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 3:080.05–0.21 | 2:400.00–0.64 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.15 | 3:370.05–0.02 | 1:080.00–0.21 | |||
| Kerfoot–Nylander–Engvall | 0:450.00–0.11 | 1:030.12–0.11 | |||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 3:070.08–0.11 | 5:110.33–0.98 | 4:130.38–0.09 | 1:470.04–0.01 | 5:450.38–0.23 | 7:260.25–0.35 | 3:360.24–0.22 | 0:400.00–0.43 | |
| Muzzin–Holl | 6:360.24–0.23 | 2:380.04–0.09 | 1:470.28–0.25 | 1:290.04–0.00 | 6:520.31–0.19 | 2:560.04–0.06 | 2:360.27–0.19 | 1:400.25–0.10 | |
| Giordano–Sandin | 2:080.06–0.18 | 1:510.05–0.00 | 3:410.24–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.00 | 3:370.23–0.15 | 3:320.06–0.00 | 3:080.33–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.00 |
| Giordano–Holl | 0:340.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Holl–Sandin | 0:500.00–0.05 | 0:570.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 29 | 26:59 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 25 | 22:34 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 21:21 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 7 | 1 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 26 | 21:15 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 20:48 | 0:52 | 2:19 | 8 | 0 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 27 | 20:48 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 6 |
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 20:42 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 4 | 5 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 29 | 20:40 | 0:43 | 1:49 | 3 | 5 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 26 | 20:13 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 5 | 4 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 25 | 20:06 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 5 | 0 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 24 | 19:40 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 28 | 19:38 | 0:42 | 1:44 | 4 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 26 | 18:42 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler MotteOTT | 26 | 18:14 | 0:42 | 1:37 | 3 | 5 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 23 | 17:46 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 6 | 0 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 24 | 17:42 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 17:32 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 7 | 1 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 29 | 17:14 | 0:36 | 1:17 | 5 | 7 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 22 | 17:10 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 6 | 3 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 22 | 17:00 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 16:25 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 8 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 6 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 20 | 15:39 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 4 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 23 | 15:28 | 0:40 | 1:58 | 3 | 4 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 22 | 15:05 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 22 | 14:45 | 0:40 | 1:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 20 | 13:04 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Denis MalginTOR | 18 | 12:49 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 6 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 12:44 | 0:45 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 19 | 12:12 | 0:39 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 David KampfTOR | 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 0 | 4 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelTOR | 16 | 10:55 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 14 | 9:15 | 0:40 | 0:59 | 0 | 2 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 15 | 8:36 | 0:34 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 13 | 8:30 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 12 | 6:38 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 0 | 0 |