Sat, Oct 15, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
46%
9%
8%
36%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:59 | 0.20 | 51.2% | +32.6 |
 Travis HamonicD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:48 | 0.08 | 54.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.03 | 54.3% | +13.1 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.16 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.32 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.36 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MotteC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.09 | 23.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.41 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.05 | 68.3% | +32.6 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:46 | 0.61 | 68.3% | +45.8 |
 Shane PintoC · #57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.35 | 21.6% | +13.1 |
 Mathieu JosephRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.01 | 14.9% | 0.0 |
 Mark KastelicC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 |
 Parker KellyC · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 |
 Anton Forsberg#31 | L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.03 | 0.0 | 58:24 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.06 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.16 | 78.4% | +39.2 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.14 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 20:48 | 0.51 | 81.7% | +28.8 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.30 | 58.4% | +39.2 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.13 | 55.9% | +27.1 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.14 | 82.0% | +39.2 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.02 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.47 | 50.0% | +28.8 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.26 | 49.9% | +28.8 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.18 | 68.4% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.18 | 72.4% | +27.1 |
 Denis MalginC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:44 | 0.18 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.07 | 16.8% | +27.1 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.18 | 5.2% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:15 | 0.04 | 5.6% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.72 | +0.7 | 60:00 |