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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Arizona Coyotes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

TOR winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Brodie, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 0:34Moser: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Aube-Kubel, Aston-Reese, Kampf · ARI Bjugstad, O'Brien, Fischer, Stecher, Moser

  4. P1 2:55Aube-Kubel: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Aube-Kubel, Engvall, Aston-Reese · ARI Kassian, Mayo, Välimäki, McBain, Maccelli

  5. P1 4:07Shot by Engvall, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  6. P1 6:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 9:02Shot by Bunting, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 10:11Shot by Brown, saved by Kallgren
  9. P1 10:13McBain: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Malgin · ARI Kassian, Gostisbehere, Brown, McBain, Maccelli

  10. P1 10:13Brodie: Roughing removing opponents helmet (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Malgin · ARI Kassian, Gostisbehere, Brown, McBain, Maccelli

  11. P1 13:31Shot by Maccelli, saved by Kallgren
  12. P1 14:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 14:50Shot by Mayo, saved by Kallgren
  14. P1 16:34Ritchie: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · ARI Ritchie, Stecher, Välimäki, McBain, Guenther

  15. P1 18:43Jarnkrok: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Bunting, Malgin · ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Keller, Hayton

  16. P1 19:34Goal by Ritchie (Gostisbehere, Moser)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Aston-Reese, Kampf · ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Keller, Moser

  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:44Shot by Fischer, saved by Kallgren
  20. P2 2:15Shot by Giordano, saved by Vejmelka
  21. P2 2:43Shot by Brodie, saved by Vejmelka
  22. P2 3:40Shot by Muzzin, saved by Vejmelka
  23. P2 4:01Shot by Stecher, saved by Kallgren
  24. P2 4:24Shot by Marner, saved by Vejmelka
  25. P2 5:14Shot by Kampf, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 5:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  27. P2 8:30Goal by Fischer (Bjugstad)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Aube-Kubel, Aston-Reese, Kampf · ARI Bjugstad, Fischer, Stecher, Välimäki, Maccelli

  28. P2 9:01Holl: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall · ARI Kassian, Mayo, Välimäki, McBain, Maccelli

  29. P2 10:58Shot by Hayton, saved by Kallgren4v5
  30. P2 11:03Shot by Crouse, saved by Kallgren
  31. P2 12:20Brown: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · ARI Kassian, Gostisbehere, Brown, McBain, Maccelli

  32. P2 15:22Shot by Boyd, saved by Kallgren
  33. P2 15:44Shot by Guenther, saved by Kallgren
  34. P2 16:50Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Kallgren
  35. P2 17:45Shot by Crouse, saved by Kallgren
  36. P2 17:45Aube-Kubel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Brodie, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Engvall · ARI Gostisbehere, Brown, Crouse, McBain, Maccelli

  37. P2 18:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  38. P2 19:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  39. P2 0:00Period end6v5
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Vejmelka
  42. P3 1:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P3 1:46Shot by Guenther, saved by Kallgren
  44. P3 3:57Shot by Holl, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P3 4:32Shot by Stecher, saved by Kallgren
  46. P3 5:06Boyd: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews · ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Brown, Crouse, Keller

  47. P3 7:27Shot by Kassian, saved by Kallgren
  48. P3 9:30Shot by Brodie, saved by Vejmelka
  49. P3 9:37Shot by Brodie, saved by Vejmelka
  50. P3 10:03Shot by Bunting, saved by Vejmelka
  51. P3 11:19McBain: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Sandin · ARI Kassian, Mayo, Välimäki, McBain, Maccelli

  52. P3 12:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  53. P3 12:54Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Rielly)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Mayo, Crouse

  54. P3 13:18Goal by Marner, unassisted+38 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews · ARI Boyd, Crouse, Keller, Stecher, Moser

  55. P3 15:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P3 15:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P3 16:23Shot by Giordano, saved by Vejmelka
  58. P3 16:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P3 17:04Shot by Bunting, saved by Vejmelka
  60. P3 17:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  61. P3 17:55Jarnkrok: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Engvall · ARI Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Mayo, Hayton, Guenther

  62. P3 18:27Goal by Gostisbehere (Keller, Ritchie)4v5+44 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Marner, Kampf · ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Keller, Moser

  63. P3 19:33Shot by Fischer, saved by Kallgren
  64. P3 19:49Goal by Crouse (Fischer)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · ARI Kassian, Bjugstad, Boyd, Brown, Fischer, Crouse, McBain, Maccelli, Moser

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final