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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 22, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Winnipeg Jets

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Robertson, saved by Hellebuyck
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Bunting, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 4:08Shot by Holl, saved by Hellebuyck
  5. P1 4:14Shot by Dubois, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 4:17Goal by Dubois (Perfetti, Wheeler)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, DeMelo, Stanley, Dubois, Perfetti · TOR Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Aston-Reese, Sandin

  7. P1 4:21Shot by Robertson, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 7:05Bunting: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Gagner, Dillon, Jonsson-Fjallby, Pionk, Gustafsson · TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting, Marner, Mete

  9. P1 8:06Morrissey: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Dubois · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kerfoot

  10. P1 9:10Shot by Appleton, saved by Samsonov4v5
  11. P1 9:56Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Matthews)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Dillon, DeMelo, Jonsson-Fjallby, Gustafsson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  12. P1 10:50Shot by Clifford, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 11:01Clifford: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Dillon, Scheifele, Schmidt, Connor, Appleton · TOR Simmonds, Brodie, Clifford, Rielly, Kampf

  14. P1 11:25Shot by Connor, saved by Samsonov5v4
  15. P1 11:31Shot by Connor, saved by Samsonov5v4
  16. P1 13:41Shot by Dillon, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 13:57Shot by Pionk, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 15:01Shot by Dillon, saved by Samsonov
  19. P1 15:10Shot by Bunting, saved by Hellebuyck
  20. P1 15:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  21. P1 16:21Morrissey: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WPG Gagner, Dillon, Schmidt, Jonsson-Fjallby, Gustafsson · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Mete, Robertson

  22. P1 18:20Shot by Sandin, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  23. P1 19:59Shot by Scheifele, saved by Samsonov
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:30Shot by Appleton, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 1:40Shot by Giordano, saved by Hellebuyck
  28. P2 3:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 4:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  30. P2 5:56Shot by Sandin, saved by Hellebuyck
  31. P2 6:06Shot by Holl, saved by Hellebuyck
  32. P2 6:41Shot by Schmidt, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 6:43Shot by Jonsson-Fjallby, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 8:57Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hellebuyck
  35. P2 9:07Shot by Wheeler, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 9:55Shot by Dillon, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 10:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  38. P2 10:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  39. P2 10:15Shot by Kampf, saved by Hellebuyck
  40. P2 10:48Shot by Lowry, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 10:53Shot by Stanley, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 11:14Shot by Scheifele, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 13:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck
  44. P2 13:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P2 14:34Goal by Kampf (Simmonds, Clifford)+25 pts WP

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Connor, Appleton, Stanley · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Clifford, Mete, Kampf

  46. P2 15:32Shot by Barron, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 16:08Morrissey: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton, Pionk · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Robertson

  48. P2 16:08Rielly: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton, Pionk · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Robertson

  49. P2 16:08Morrissey: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton, Pionk · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Robertson

  50. P2 16:08Rielly: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton, Pionk · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Robertson

  51. P2 16:47Shot by Clifford, saved by Hellebuyck
  52. P2 18:14Dubois: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Dillon, Dubois, Pionk, Perfetti · TOR Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  53. P2 18:14Bunting: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Dillon, Dubois, Pionk, Perfetti · TOR Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  54. P2 18:14Dillon: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Dillon, Dubois, Pionk, Perfetti · TOR Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  55. P2 18:56Goal by Tavares (Matthews, Sandin)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Appleton, Stanley · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  56. P2 19:59Shot by Perfetti, saved by Samsonov
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:23Shot by Dubois, saved by Samsonov
  60. P3 1:24Shot by Wheeler, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 2:26Shot by Kampf, saved by Hellebuyck
  62. P3 3:02Shot by DeMelo, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 3:05Simmonds: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Connor, Appleton, Stanley · TOR Simmonds, Clifford, Holl, Kampf, Sandin

  64. P3 4:29Shot by Morrissey, saved by Samsonov5v4
  65. P3 5:10Shot by Dubois, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 8:00Shot by Appleton, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 8:18Shot by Connor, saved by Samsonov
  68. P3 9:10Shot by Lowry, saved by Samsonov
  69. P3 12:20Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Hellebuyck
  70. P3 12:36Shot by Lowry, saved by Samsonov
  71. P3 13:54Shot by Wheeler, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 14:41Shot by Stanley, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 14:55Shot by Stanley, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 17:23Goal by Bunting (Marner, Matthews)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Lowry, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton, Pionk · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  75. P3 18:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  76. P3 18:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final