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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 22, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–RobertsonSimmonds–Clifford–KampfJarnkrok–Kerfoot–Aston-ReeseJarnkrok–Kerfoot–KampfKerfoot–Marner–MatthewsKerfoot–Aston-Reese–KampfSimmonds–Tavares–RobertsonHoll–SandinBrodie–RiellyGiordano–MeteBrodie–MeteBrodie–HollGiordano–RiellyHoll–RiellyGiordano–SandinBrodie–Sandin
Scheifele–Connor–Appleton1:110.02–0.065:060.12–0.052:030.06–0.260:480.14–0.000:590.00–0.000:450.04–0.002:200.11–0.153:390.07–0.033:410.18–0.031:270.00–0.000:450.01–0.11
Wheeler–Dubois–Perfetti2:560.03–0.101:270.07–0.102:490.24–0.110:580.12–0.000:350.18–0.004:580.43–0.101:090.03–0.082:050.00–0.120:380.00–0.020:560.18–0.00
Gagner–Lowry–Barron2:030.21–0.041:140.01–0.000:360.00–0.001:070.02–0.000:470.00–0.001:170.25–0.001:580.04–0.040:460.02–0.000:470.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Maenalanen–Jonsson-Fjallby–Gustafsson0:330.05–0.001:590.00–0.001:270.44–0.001:300.05–0.251:270.00–0.15
Lowry–Maenalanen–Barron2:270.00–0.330:570.00–0.102:030.00–0.23
Gagner–Jonsson-Fjallby–Gustafsson0:460.00–0.080:390.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:040.00–0.24
Maenalanen–Dubois–Perfetti0:300.00–0.060:370.00–0.06
Gagner–Scheifele–Connor0:500.00–0.00
Morrissey–Pionk5:460.26–0.434:190.13–0.050:340.02–0.004:220.07–0.244:340.29–0.231:090.02–0.041:060.02–0.000:520.01–0.11
Dillon–Schmidt1:430.00–0.004:450.23–0.091:240.00–0.031:160.00–0.060:580.12–0.005:130.63–0.172:330.00–0.483:380.00–0.050:390.00–0.00
DeMelo–Stanley1:310.05–0.003:430.06–0.063:070.23–0.040:480.14–0.000:410.00–0.001:390.27–0.053:090.09–0.003:580.14–0.180:530.00–0.02
Schmidt–Pionk1:030.00–0.030:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.031:190.00–0.00
Stanley–Pionk0:470.00–0.06
Dillon–DeMelo0:410.01–0.100:590.06–0.11
Schmidt–Stanley
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAppleton FScheifele FConnor FWheeler FPerfetti FDubois FMaenalanen FLowry FBarron FGagner FJonsson-Fjallby FGustafsson FDillon DSchmidt DMorrissey DPionk DStanley DDeMelo DHellebuyck GNylander FRobertson FTavares FBunting FMarner FMatthews FAston-Reese FJarnkrok FKerfoot FKampf FSimmonds FClifford FRielly DBrodie DHoll DSandin DMete DGiordano DSamsonov G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Neal PionkWPG2923:160:481:2854
TJ BrodieTOR2722:270:501:4805
Nate SchmidtWPG2922:040:461:2122
Mark ScheifeleWPG2321:280:562:5662
Justin HollTOR2521:190:511:4143
Kyle ConnorWPG2220:410:562:5671
Rasmus SandinTOR2220:310:561:4141
Morgan RiellyTOR2619:470:461:2112
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:270:532:1032
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:170:461:4744
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2119:030:542:0631
Josh MorrisseyWPG2518:570:451:3062
Brenden DillonWPG2618:360:431:2112
William NylanderTOR2317:210:451:2724
Blake WheelerWPG2117:200:501:3441
John TavaresTOR2217:020:461:2034
Mark GiordanoTOR2317:020:441:4913
David KampfTOR2317:010:441:1024
Mason AppletonWPG2216:540:461:2453
Dylan DeMeloWPG2516:540:411:3526
Logan StanleyWPG2316:300:431:1335
Cole PerfettiWPG1915:520:501:5211
Nick RobertsonTOR2215:460:431:2124
Alexander KerfootTOR2415:230:381:2922
Victor MeteTOR2315:120:401:2313
Michael BuntingTOR2114:480:421:2642
Adam LowryWPG1913:000:411:0133
Morgan BarronWPG1913:000:411:2533
Sam GagnerWPG1612:380:471:4712
Calle JarnkrokTOR2011:410:351:3823
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1810:580:371:0322
Saku MaenalanenWPG1310:540:501:2300
Wayne SimmondsTOR1510:100:411:0710
David GustafssonWPG159:520:391:2801
Kyle CliffordTOR159:060:361:0010
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG138:430:401:2000