Sat, Oct 22, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
27%
8%
57%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:27 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.05 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:31 | 0.08 | 41.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.03 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 19:27 | 1.11 | 67.6% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.07 | 61.6% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.23 | 50.4% | +16.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.67 | 51.1% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.04 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.17 | 51.4% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.02 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.03 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.94 | 65.9% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.06 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.15 | 77.8% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:06 | 0.18 | 78.7% | +24.7 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.93 | +1.9 | 59:42 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:16 | 0.07 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.22 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.31 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:41 | 0.28 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.52 | 64.1% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.11 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.12 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.16 | 59.8% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.51 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.02 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.10 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 58.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:00 | 0.09 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.21 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.05 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.16 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.10 | +0.1 | 59:46 |