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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Colorado Avalanche 4, New York Islanders 5

Away

Colorado Avalanche

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 80% of the time.

NYI winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 1:58Shot by Hunt, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 2:13Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 2:19Shot by Romanov, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 4:02Shot by Aho, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 4:19Shot by O'Connor, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 4:52Shot by Lee, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 9:08Shot by Girard, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 9:25Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 9:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 10:05Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 12:33Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 12:59Shot by Pageau, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 13:46Shot by Compher, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 14:31Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 14:49Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 15:40MacDermid: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Mayfield, Barzal, Aho, Wahlstrom · COL MacDermid, Girard, Maltsev, Kaut, Byram

  20. P1 17:13Shot by Dobson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  21. P1 17:26Shot by Dobson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  22. P1 19:11Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 19:15Cizikas: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Aho · COL Cogliano, Toews, Hunt, Makar, Newhook

  24. P1 19:37Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Varlamov4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:46Goal by Rodrigues (Rantanen, Lehkonen)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Bailey, Mayfield, Pelech · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar

  28. P2 1:03Shot by Nelson, saved by Georgiev
  29. P2 1:29Shot by Lee, saved by Georgiev
  30. P2 2:44Wahlstrom: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Aho · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Kaut, Byram

  31. P2 3:57Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov4v5
  32. P2 4:37Shot by Byram, saved by Varlamov4v5
  33. P2 4:52Shot by Compher, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 5:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 5:11Rantanen: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Aho · COL Johnson, Manson, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues

  36. P2 5:19Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 5:54Shot by Dobson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  38. P2 7:14Shot by Pulock, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 7:15Shot by Bailey, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 7:16Shot by Bailey, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 7:28Goal by Rantanen (Manson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Bailey, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier · COL Johnson, Manson, Rantanen, Kaut, O'Connor

  42. P2 8:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 8:33Goal by Rodrigues (MacKinnon, Toews)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, Beauvillier · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar

  44. P2 9:07Shot by Nelson, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 9:53Goal by Dobson (Romanov, Wahlstrom)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Dobson, Romanov · COL Compher, Lehkonen, Girard, O'Connor, Byram

  46. P2 12:43Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Georgiev
  47. P2 13:26Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Georgiev
  48. P2 13:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Georgiev
  49. P2 13:52Shot by Barzal, saved by Georgiev
  50. P2 17:50Shot by Mayfield, saved by Georgiev
  51. P2 19:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 19:11Shot by Manson, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 19:42Shot by Compher, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:15Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 0:22Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 0:56Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 1:06Shot by O'Connor, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 1:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 2:16Shot by Romanov, saved by Georgiev
  62. P3 2:59Shot by Newhook, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 3:27Shot by Romanov, saved by Georgiev
  64. P3 3:31Shot by Pelech, saved by Georgiev
  65. P3 3:32Shot by Pageau, saved by Georgiev
  66. P3 3:33Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 3:34Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 3:34Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  69. P3 3:35Goal by Parise (Pageau, Pulock)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram

  70. P3 4:52Shot by Dobson, saved by Georgiev
  71. P3 5:12Shot by O'Connor, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 5:48Shot by Newhook, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 6:08Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 6:30Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 7:10MacKinnon: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar

  76. P3 9:12Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  77. P3 9:13Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  78. P3 9:14Shot by Parise, saved by Georgiev
  79. P3 9:36Shot by Pelech, saved by Georgiev
  80. P3 10:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Georgiev
  81. P3 10:32Shot by Barzal, saved by Georgiev
  82. P3 10:39Goal by Mayfield (Barzal, Cizikas)+35 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram

  83. P3 10:56Goal by Beauvillier (Lee)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Dobson, Romanov · COL Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Makar, O'Connor

  84. P3 13:20Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Varlamov
  85. P3 14:42Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev
  86. P3 15:53Shot by Lee, saved by Georgiev
  87. P3 16:44Shot by Pageau, saved by Georgiev
  88. P3 17:42Shot by Cogliano, saved by Varlamov
  89. P3 18:11Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Varlamov5v6
  90. P3 18:39Goal by Nelson, unassisted5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar, Newhook

  91. P3 19:30Goal by Newhook (Makar, MacKinnon)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Nelson, Pulock, Romanov · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar, Newhook

  92. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  93. P3 0:00Final