Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Colorado Avalanche 4, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 80% of the time.

NYI winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacKinnon–Rantanen–RodriguesCompher–Lehkonen–O'ConnorCogliano–Hunt–NewhookMacDermid–Maltsev–KautCompher–Rodrigues–O'ConnorToews–MakarGirard–ByramJohnson–MansonMakar–Byram
Lee–Nelson–Beauvillier2:470.14–0.092:190.30–0.002:500.09–0.030:420.00–0.001:250.11–0.003:180.24–0.054:260.20–0.23
Parise–Palmieri–Pageau5:171.33–0.152:070.00–0.001:170.01–0.006:170.02–0.151:251.03–0.000:480.00–0.12
Bailey–Barzal–Wahlstrom0:540.00–0.004:090.03–0.031:340.15–0.170:310.12–0.002:540.00–0.184:010.25–0.021:240.12–0.00
Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas1:350.00–0.001:270.00–0.011:570.02–0.000:470.02–0.013:160.00–0.081:070.00–0.02
Clutterbuck–Cizikas–Barzal1:200.18–0.001:200.18–0.00
Parise–Palmieri–Barzal0:300.00–0.100:410.08–0.12
Bailey–Palmieri–Barzal0:330.01–0.110:310.01–0.00
Parise–Pageau–Wahlstrom
Dobson–Romanov5:000.14–0.334:410.62–0.001:540.18–0.003:160.23–0.185:280.23–0.053:560.11–0.240:480.38–0.00
Pelech–Pulock8:381.08–0.122:200.19–0.007:540.05–0.123:001.29–0.001:210.62–0.19
Mayfield–Aho2:180.10–0.092:380.01–0.132:240.01–0.041:320.00–0.002:320.01–0.133:580.00–0.133:210.23–0.04
Mayfield–Pelech3:020.24–0.200:320.00–0.202:090.24–0.00
Pulock–Romanov0:310.00–0.101:160.00–0.12
Mayfield–Romanov0:410.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:350.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndParise FPalmieri FPageau FBarzal FWahlstrom FBailey FNelson FBeauvillier FLee FClutterbuck FMartin FCizikas FPelech DPulock DDobson DRomanov DMayfield DAho DVarlamov GRodrigues FMacKinnon FRantanen FO'Connor FCompher FLehkonen FCogliano FNewhook FHunt FMaltsev FKaut FToews DMakar DByram DGirard DManson DJohnson DMacDermid DGeorgiev G
NYICOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Cale MakarCOL2828:021:002:0842
Evan RodriguesCOL2927:100:562:0874
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2625:020:582:0681
Mikko RantanenCOL2623:360:542:0782
Devon ToewsCOL2622:570:531:5053
Scott MayfieldNYI2221:491:001:3730
Artturi LehkonenCOL2621:160:492:0537
Adam PelechNYI2921:130:441:3936
Alexander RomanovNYI2220:010:552:2622
Mathew BarzalNYI1920:001:032:1170
Noah DobsonNYI1919:421:022:0942
Bowen ByramCOL2319:260:511:5825
Ryan PulockNYI2819:250:421:3046
Zach PariseNYI2519:130:461:2442
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2517:560:431:1645
Brock NelsonNYI2217:500:491:5143
Logan O'ConnorCOL2117:370:501:3316
Samuel GirardCOL2217:370:481:2426
Kyle PalmieriNYI1916:250:521:5561
Josh BaileyNYI2115:530:451:2560
Anders LeeNYI1814:560:501:5242
Josh MansonCOL2314:320:381:2913
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2314:310:381:2427
J.T. CompherCOL1914:260:461:2026
Erik JohnsonCOL2313:070:341:0603
Oliver WahlstromNYI1912:470:401:1560
Anthony BeauvillierNYI1712:380:451:2221
Casey CizikasNYI1812:210:411:2024
Alex NewhookCOL1812:210:411:1202
Andrew CoglianoCOL2012:130:371:2113
Sebastian AhoNYI1411:570:511:3930
Dryden HuntCOL1611:510:441:2812
Matt MartinNYI147:520:341:0512
Martin KautCOL95:250:361:0301
Kurtis MacDermidCOL94:500:320:4501
Mikhail MaltsevCOL74:180:371:0301