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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 1, 2022·Mullett Arena, Tempe

Florida Panthers 1, Arizona Coyotes 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.

ARI winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by McBain, saved by Knight
  3. P1 1:43Shot by McBain, saved by Knight
  4. P1 2:08Shot by Montour, saved by Vejmelka
  5. P1 5:06Lundell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Ritchie, Keller, Stecher, Hayton · FLA Staal, White, Carlsson, Luostarinen, Lundell

  6. P1 5:26Shot by Moser, saved by Knight5v4
  7. P1 5:31Shot by Keller, saved by Knight5v4
  8. P1 7:32Shot by Mahura, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 7:36Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 14:17Shot by Hayton, saved by Knight
  11. P1 14:46Shot by Bennett, saved by Vejmelka
  12. P1 14:47Bennett: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Bjugstad, Crouse, Stecher, Maccelli · FLA Reinhart, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Balcers

  13. P1 17:11Shot by Fischer, saved by Knight
  14. P1 17:24Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Knight
  15. P1 18:16Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vejmelka
  16. P1 18:34Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka
  17. P1 19:10Fischer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Fischer, Stecher, Välimäki, Hayton, Maccelli · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk

  18. P1 19:47Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  19. P1 19:54Bennett: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Bjugstad, O'Brien, Stecher · FLA Hornqvist, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Luostarinen

  20. P1 19:54Stecher: Embellishment (2 min)4v4

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Bjugstad, O'Brien, Stecher · FLA Hornqvist, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Luostarinen

  21. P1 19:59Shot by McBain, saved by Knight4v5
  22. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:31Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  25. P2 0:59Shot by Barkov, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  26. P2 2:00Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vejmelka
  27. P2 2:26Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vejmelka
  28. P2 4:30Shot by Bennett, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  29. P2 4:42Fischer: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ARI O'Brien, Brown, Fischer, McBain, Moser · FLA Hornqvist, Gudas, Reinhart, Bennett, Balcers, Mahura

  30. P2 5:45Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  31. P2 6:28Shot by Lundell, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  32. P2 8:02Shot by Staal, saved by Vejmelka
  33. P2 8:09Shot by Gudas, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 8:24Goal by White (Mahura, Bennett)+22 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Ritchie, Stecher, Hayton, Guenther · FLA Gudas, Bennett, White, Lomberg, Mahura

  35. P2 10:13Shot by Keller, saved by Knight
  36. P2 10:17Shot by Guenther, saved by Knight
  37. P2 12:16Carlsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Gostisbehere, Brown, Crouse, Maccelli · FLA Staal, Staal, Hornqvist, Lomberg, Carlsson

  38. P2 13:47Goal by Crouse (Maccelli, Guenther)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Crouse, Välimäki, Hayton, Maccelli, Guenther · FLA Staal, Bennett, Montour, Lundell

  39. P2 14:26Shot by Lundell, saved by Vejmelka
  40. P2 14:31Shot by Mahura, saved by Vejmelka
  41. P2 15:08Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vejmelka
  42. P2 15:09Mayo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Brown, Mayo, Keller, Guenther · FLA Staal, Hornqvist, Montour, Forsling, Lomberg

  43. P2 15:09Lomberg: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Brown, Mayo, Keller, Guenther · FLA Staal, Hornqvist, Montour, Forsling, Lomberg

  44. P2 15:29Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  45. P2 17:42Shot by Carlsson, saved by Vejmelka
  46. P2 17:51Shot by Staal, saved by Vejmelka
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:43Shot by Keller, saved by Knight
  50. P3 1:45Shot by Nemeth, saved by Knight
  51. P3 1:58Shot by Stecher, saved by Knight
  52. P3 2:41Shot by Maccelli, saved by Knight
  53. P3 5:27Shot by Montour, saved by Vejmelka
  54. P3 7:02Shot by Gudas, saved by Vejmelka
  55. P3 7:34Shot by Guenther, saved by Knight
  56. P3 7:40Gudas: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Brown, Keller, Guenther · FLA Gudas, White, Mahura, Luostarinen, Lundell

  57. P3 8:19Shot by Crouse, saved by Knight5v4
  58. P3 8:24Shot by Hayton, saved by Knight5v4
  59. P3 8:55Goal by Ritchie (Keller, Moser)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Keller, Moser · FLA Staal, Barkov, Tkachuk, Mahura

  60. P3 9:15McBain: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI O'Brien, Brown, Mayo, Fischer, McBain · FLA Reinhart, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Balcers

  61. P3 9:23Shot by Montour, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  62. P3 10:53Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  63. P3 11:07Shot by Bennett, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  64. P3 11:49Shot by Stecher, saved by Knight
  65. P3 14:12Shot by Balcers, saved by Vejmelka
  66. P3 14:53Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 14:58Shot by Montour, saved by Vejmelka
  68. P3 15:14Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka
  69. P3 16:42Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka
  70. P3 17:20Shot by Forsling, saved by Vejmelka
  71. P3 17:49Shot by Barkov, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  72. P3 17:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  73. P3 18:11Shot by Lundell, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  74. P3 18:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  75. P3 18:25Shot by Montour, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  76. P3 18:26Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  77. P3 18:53Goal by Keller (Fischer, Nemeth)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Fischer, Keller, Stecher, Hayton · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk, Lundell

  78. P3 19:16Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  79. P3 19:54Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final