Wed, Nov 2, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
8%
19%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 23:24 | 0.00 | 40.8% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.01 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.03 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 57.4% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.26 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.24 | 41.1% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.14 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.21 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.01 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.32 | 61.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.18 | 50.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 53.9% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.24 | 61.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:23 | 0.19 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.02 | 78.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 1.87 | −2.1 | 58:30 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 29:25 | 0.16 | 44.7% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 23:51 | 0.15 | 51.7% | +46.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:46 | 0.00 | 44.4% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.12 | 33.7% | +42.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.37 | 57.4% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.07 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.14 | 41.3% | +42.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.74 | 19.8% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.01 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.57 | 44.4% | +31.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.03 | 59.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:01 | 0.16 | 40.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.22 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.09 | 49.1% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.17 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.85 | −1.1 | 60:00 |