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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 2, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crosby–Rust–GuentzelMalkin–Zucker–RakellArchibald–McGinn–PoehlingKapanen–Heinen–O'ConnorLetang–DumoulinPetry–PetterssonJoseph–RuttaLetang–JosephPettersson–RuttaPetry–DumoulinDumoulin–RuttaPetry–Joseph
Tuch–Cozens–Peterka4:090.23–0.123:000.00–0.001:290.00–0.064:370.18–0.072:260.06–0.121:130.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Girgensons–Asplund–Krebs2:240.02–0.033:180.15–0.131:250.10–0.001:530.11–0.002:170.06–0.071:480.10–0.000:480.00–0.000:490.02–0.000:400.00–0.00
Okposo–Skinner–Thompson2:270.00–0.062:280.00–0.132:130.01–0.001:130.00–0.003:310.00–0.121:510.01–0.210:370.07–0.00
Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Quinn1:390.00–0.131:040.01–0.003:310.19–0.180:530.00–0.022:340.06–0.151:320.02–0.001:150.01–0.121:020.07–0.06
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson0:370.13–0.000:320.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:030.13–0.000:510.00–0.00
Okposo–Cozens–Peterka1:330.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt0:380.00–0.120:380.00–0.12
Bryson–Dahlin8:540.17–0.414:190.15–0.130:490.00–0.001:190.01–0.008:280.26–0.263:420.06–0.151:360.01–0.001:220.08–0.000:370.07–0.001:000.00–0.00
Clague–Power0:550.06–0.001:100.00–0.004:300.10–0.123:010.00–0.061:360.00–0.183:170.06–0.004:050.10–0.200:570.00–0.00
Fitzgerald–Pilut0:400.00–0.002:380.01–0.060:410.10–0.061:060.00–0.021:290.00–0.021:140.00–0.060:320.01–0.001:070.00–0.06
Pilut–Power0:540.15–0.002:400.19–0.000:370.00–0.031:180.22–0.002:120.13–0.041:100.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:550.00–0.000:440.08–0.001:270.02–0.100:400.09–0.00
Dahlin–Pilut0:390.04–0.000:320.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Bryson–Pilut0:330.02–0.000:500.02–0.00
Fitzgerald–Dahlin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCozens FPeterka FTuch FOkposo FSkinner FThompson FQuinn FMittelstadt FOlofsson FGirgensons FKrebs FAsplund FDahlin DBryson DFitzgerald DPilut DClague DPower DComrie GRust FGuentzel FCrosby FZucker FRakell FMalkin FArchibald FPoehling FMcGinn FO'Connor FHeinen FKapanen FDumoulin DLetang DPettersson DPetry DRutta DJoseph DDeSmith G
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3429:250:521:5275
Owen PowerBUF2923:510:491:3431
Kris LetangPIT2523:240:561:3953
Jacob BrysonBUF3222:460:431:1465
Brian DumoulinPIT2722:220:501:4537
Marcus PetterssonPIT2520:370:491:2610
Jeff PetryPIT2520:200:492:0711
Evgeni MalkinPIT2420:050:501:2111
Bryan RustPIT2419:560:501:2762
Jake GuentzelPIT2619:350:451:2862
Tage ThompsonBUF2118:100:521:4652
Alex TuchBUF2118:070:521:4442
Sidney CrosbyPIT2517:480:431:2872
Dylan CozensBUF2317:470:461:3112
Jeff SkinnerBUF2117:140:491:2462
Rickard RakellPIT2416:510:421:0521
Kyle OkposoBUF2516:470:401:1824
Jan RuttaPIT2316:240:431:1424
Casey MittelstadtBUF1916:130:511:1033
Lawrence PilutBUF2715:540:351:2223
Jason ZuckerPIT2115:390:451:0901
Victor OlofssonBUF1915:140:481:1532
Ryan PoehlingPIT2114:200:411:1926
JJ PeterkaBUF1814:180:481:3012
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2014:150:431:1111
Rasmus AsplundBUF1814:010:471:1813
Brock McGinnPIT2113:360:391:1026
Jack QuinnBUF1513:310:541:2761
Kale ClagueBUF1411:580:511:3232
Josh ArchibaldPIT2011:480:351:0324
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1711:400:411:0634
Peyton KrebsBUF1310:280:481:0821
Drew O'ConnorPIT1610:230:391:0921
Casey FitzgeraldBUF199:500:311:0902
Danton HeinenPIT138:450:401:5010
Kasperi KapanenPIT148:290:361:1520