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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 83% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:26Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:52Shot by Perry, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:55Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:08Shot by Stepan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 6:14Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 6:24Perry: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Slavin, Pesce

  10. P1 7:33Shot by Hagel, saved by Andersen4v5
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  12. P1 8:29Goal by Jarvis (Stastny)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Fleury, Point, Sergachev, Koepke · CAR Stastny, Slavin, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis

  13. P1 8:57Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 9:29Shot by Paul, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 10:44Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 10:57Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 11:35Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 13:48Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 13:55Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 14:33Cernak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Fleury, Cernak · CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  21. P1 15:40Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  22. P1 16:33Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 17:00Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 18:36Shot by de Haan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 18:50Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 18:57Shot by Noesen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:33Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 0:35Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 1:10Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 2:48Chatfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Fleury, Foote · CAR de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  33. P2 2:48Chatfield: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Fleury, Foote · CAR de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  34. P2 2:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen5v4
  35. P2 5:02Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  36. P2 5:15Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 5:50Goal by Colton (Sergachev, Hagel)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Sergachev, Colton, Hagel · CAR Burns, Fast, Martinook, Slavin

  38. P2 6:52Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 7:13Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 7:50Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 7:57Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 8:10Shot by Maroon, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 8:14Shot by Maroon, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 8:14Shot by Perry, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 8:39Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 9:08Shot by Stastny, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 9:19Goal by Paul (Stamkos)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Fleury, Perbix · CAR de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  48. P2 9:52Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  49. P2 10:00Shot by Noesen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  50. P2 10:53Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  51. P2 11:17Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  52. P2 11:42Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  53. P2 13:16Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 13:41Colton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Namestnikov, Fleury, Colton, Foote, Koepke · CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin

  55. P2 13:53Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P2 13:55Shot by Noesen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  57. P2 13:56Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  58. P2 14:01Goal by Necas (Burns, Svechnikov)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Paul, Bellemare, Cernak · CAR Burns, Noesen, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov

  59. P2 14:12Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 16:12Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  61. P2 16:31Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P2 18:25Chatfield: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Namestnikov, Fleury, Colton, Koepke · CAR Staal, de Haan, Fast, Martinook, Chatfield

  63. P2 18:25Martinook: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Cole, Namestnikov, Fleury, Colton, Koepke · CAR Staal, de Haan, Fast, Martinook, Chatfield

  64. P2 19:00Goal by Kucherov (Killorn, Point)5v3+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point · CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce

  65. P2 19:34Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Andersen5v4
  66. P2 19:55Shot by Point, saved by Andersen5v4
  67. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 1:31Shot by Noesen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 3:44Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 4:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 5:41Shot by Koepke, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 6:32Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 7:06Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 7:41Perry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Foote · CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  76. P3 8:56Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  77. P3 9:08Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  78. P3 10:48Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 12:06Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  80. P3 12:24Pesce: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Namestnikov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  81. P3 13:34Goal by Skjei (Aho)5v4+31 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Point, Foote · CAR Burns, Fast, Skjei, Aho

  82. P3 14:31Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 16:36Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  84. P3 16:50Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  85. P3 16:55Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  86. P3 17:13Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  87. P3 17:46Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Andersen
  88. P3 18:03Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. OT 0:00Period start
  91. OT 0:31Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen3v3
  92. OT 1:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen3v3
  93. OT 1:28Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  94. OT 1:55Point: Slashing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TBL Point, Sergachev, Hagel · CAR Teravainen, Pesce, Jarvis

  95. OT 2:24Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy3v4
  96. OT 2:31Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy3v4
  97. OT 2:55Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy3v4
  98. OT 3:05Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy3v4
  99. OT 4:05Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen4v4
  100. OT 5:00Svechnikov: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Fleury, Point, Perbix · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  101. OT 5:00Period endother
  102. SO Period start
  103. SO Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersenother
  104. SO Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  105. SO Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersenother
  106. SO Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  107. SO Goal by Colton, unassistedother
  108. SO Goal by Teravainen, unassistedother
  109. SO Goal by Aho, unassistedother
  110. SO Period endother
  111. SO Final