Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 83% of the time.
12%
78%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 25:14 | 0.25 | 52.9% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:04 | 0.22 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:02 | 0.52 | 69.4% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:48 | 0.58 | 57.2% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:47 | 0.18 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.12 | 88.2% | +31.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:31 | 0.38 | 76.9% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:08 | 0.33 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.34 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.31 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:43 | 0.37 | 70.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:37 | 0.21 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.51 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.10 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.04 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:16 | 0.46 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:23 | 0.23 | 53.6% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.03 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.70 | −0.3 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 29:21 | 0.12 | 20.1% | +21.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:31 | 0.33 | 17.0% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.37 | 19.7% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.11 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.01 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.23 | 62.7% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.05 | 14.0% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.38 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.00 | 57.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.11 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.04 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.15 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.30 | 36.7% | +21.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.09 | 63.4% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.06 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:00 | 0.36 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 55 | 52 | 3 | .945 | 5.19 | +2.2 | 65:00 |