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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 83% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Necas–Kotkaniemi–SvechnikovStaal–Fast–MartinookTeravainen–Aho–JarvisStastny–Stepan–NoesenSkjei–PesceBurns–Slavinde Haan–ChatfieldSlavin–Pescede Haan–Slavin
Kucherov–Point–Hagel3:070.03–0.002:010.05–0.114:470.01–0.533:360.00–0.433:250.05–0.252:100.06–0.10
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare0:560.00–0.014:360.45–0.232:460.03–0.162:210.44–0.060:590.00–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Paul2:390.10–0.000:370.00–0.000:440.00–0.142:530.00–0.120:300.15–0.001:280.09–0.03
Namestnikov–Colton–Koepke1:560.00–0.062:110.02–0.080:370.00–0.081:330.00–0.062:210.02–0.00
Kucherov–Namestnikov–Hagel0:510.08–0.060:360.00–0.13
Killorn–Stamkos–Point1:000.00–0.020:550.00–0.00
Killorn–Colton–Koepke0:420.05–0.010:450.05–0.01
Killorn–Stamkos–Namestnikov0:370.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix5:220.03–0.062:040.00–0.401:310.00–0.111:270.00–0.124:110.00–0.253:170.00–0.323:350.03–0.10
Cole–Cernak1:310.01–0.001:350.05–0.114:530.10–0.434:240.00–0.372:510.07–0.171:240.10–0.00
Fleury–Foote3:350.26–0.142:400.25–0.112:560.03–0.133:370.61–0.110:560.02–0.070:380.00–0.00
Cole–Perbix0:490.00–0.021:060.00–0.051:090.00–0.061:380.00–0.061:200.00–0.21
Sergachev–Foote0:510.00–0.160:310.19–0.010:300.00–0.130:320.00–0.130:360.19–0.070:340.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:030.00–0.080:550.12–0.080:370.00–0.00
Fleury–Perbix0:390.04–0.050:300.04–0.00
Cole–Foote
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPerry FMaroon FBellemare FHagel FPoint FKucherov FKillorn FPaul FStamkos FColton FKoepke FNamestnikov FPerbix DSergachev DCole DCernak DFleury DFoote DVasilevskiy GStaal FMartinook FFast FJarvis FAho FTeravainen FSvechnikov FKotkaniemi FNecas FNoesen FStepan FStastny FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce Dde Haan DChatfield DAndersen G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL3629:210:491:5537
Brent BurnsCAR2825:140:541:3351
Brett PesceCAR2925:040:521:2763
Nikita KucherovTBL2624:310:572:2253
Brayden PointTBL2623:170:542:2424
Sebastian AhoCAR2623:020:531:3362
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2022:481:082:1372
Jaccob SlavinCAR2722:470:511:5113
Ian ColeTBL3121:580:431:3236
Erik CernakTBL2921:550:451:5529
Brady SkjeiCAR2320:330:541:3632
Martin NecasCAR1920:311:052:1371
Steven StamkosTBL2619:410:452:36314
Brandon HagelTBL2719:180:431:2612
Nick PerbixTBL2818:430:401:0417
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2418:080:452:0121
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2217:100:472:1124
Alex KillornTBL2416:570:421:2829
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2016:530:511:2972
Jordan StaalCAR2216:330:451:2222
Seth JarvisCAR2215:430:431:1631
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2115:130:431:2128
Haydn FleuryTBL2314:490:391:1006
Cal FooteTBL1714:470:521:3202
Jordan MartinookCAR2014:370:441:2820
Jesper FastCAR2014:360:441:2820
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1812:410:421:1712
Calvin de HaanCAR1512:030:481:1811
Corey PerryTBL1711:190:401:3022
Stefan NoesenCAR1311:160:521:3360
Ross ColtonTBL1510:280:421:1103
Nick PaulTBL1310:050:472:0916
Paul StastnyCAR129:230:471:3030
Cole KoepkeTBL129:130:461:1402
Patrick MaroonTBL129:000:451:0712
Derek StepanCAR118:360:471:3222