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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  3. P1 4:13Shot by Olofsson, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 7:07Goal by Paul (Hedman, Hagel)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Hagel, Perbix · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Fitzgerald, Bryson, Cozens

  5. P1 7:40Shot by Bryson, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 9:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 11:10Shot by Colton, saved by Comrie
  8. P1 11:12Shot by Koepke, saved by Comrie
  9. P1 12:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott
  10. P1 13:46Kucherov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Fleury · BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Pilut, Cozens, Peterka

  11. P1 15:03Shot by Olofsson, saved by Elliott4v5
  12. P1 16:24Goal by Girgensons (Power, Thompson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Namestnikov, Fleury, Point, Perbix · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Clague, Krebs, Power

  13. P1 19:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  14. P1 19:33Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  15. P1 19:54Shot by Paul, saved by Comrie
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:31Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin

  19. P2 2:04Shot by Killorn, saved by Comrie5v4
  20. P2 2:10Shot by Perry, saved by Comrie5v4
  21. P2 2:18Killorn: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Bryson, Lyubushkin

  22. P2 2:56Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie4v5
  23. P2 4:05Cozens: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Cole, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Cozens

  24. P2 5:05Goal by Point (Stamkos, Kucherov)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Point · BUF Okposo, Tuch, Bryson, Lyubushkin

  25. P2 6:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  26. P2 6:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott
  27. P2 6:59Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  28. P2 7:19Maroon: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Fleury · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Lyubushkin, Krebs

  29. P2 7:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott4v5
  30. P2 7:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott4v5
  31. P2 8:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott4v5
  32. P2 8:34Goal by Mittelstadt (Power, Okposo)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Hedman, Paul · BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Cozens, Power

  33. P2 9:44Shot by Perry, saved by Comrie
  34. P2 10:44Shot by Clague, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 11:30Shot by Pilut, saved by Elliott
  36. P2 12:05Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  37. P2 13:46Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  38. P2 14:08Shot by Sergachev, saved by Comrie
  39. P2 14:10Shot by Colton, saved by Comrie
  40. P2 14:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  41. P2 15:40Shot by Power, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 15:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 15:44Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 19:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  45. P2 19:38Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:17Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  49. P3 0:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  50. P3 3:23Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Comrie
  51. P3 3:43Shot by Asplund, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 3:48Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 4:25Goal by Skinner (Tuch, Cozens)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Cernak · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Clague, Cozens, Power

  54. P3 5:20Shot by Peterka, saved by Elliott
  55. P3 7:21Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 7:38Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  57. P3 7:40Goal by Hagel (Kucherov)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Asplund, Bryson, Lyubushkin

  58. P3 8:52Shot by Koepke, saved by Comrie
  59. P3 10:10Shot by Asplund, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 14:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 15:05Goal by Perbix (Kucherov, Hagel)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Bellemare, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Peterka

  62. P3 16:52Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 19:02Goal by Kucherov (Point)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Cozens, Power

  64. P3 19:57Shot by Colton, saved by Comrie
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final