Sat, Nov 5, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Okposo–Skinner–Thompson | Girgensons–Asplund–Krebs | Tuch–Cozens–Peterka | Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Quinn | Skinner–Tuch–Cozens | Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Peterka | Okposo–Girgensons–Asplund | Okposo–Girgensons–Thompson | Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt | Olofsson–Cozens–Peterka | Clague–Power | Bryson–Lyubushkin | Fitzgerald–Pilut | Bryson–Power | Pilut–Lyubushkin | Clague–Bryson | Bryson–Pilut | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 6:120.44–0.18 | 1:240.15–0.05 | 0:350.09–0.00 | 1:520.10–0.05 | 1:140.41–0.10 | 4:330.40–0.31 | 6:271.05–0.28 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | 4:290.13–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.25 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 1:060.20–0.07 | 5:480.10–0.30 | 3:410.13–0.07 | 0:340.09–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Namestnikov–Colton–Koepke | 1:160.16–0.27 | 3:130.30–0.07 | 0:490.06–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.33 | 2:380.22–0.00 | 2:010.35–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.10 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | 4:130.16–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:460.09–0.19 | 1:500.07–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Colton | 1:530.18–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:100.18–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 5:050.30–0.09 | 0:440.01–0.02 | 1:390.00–0.05 | 0:350.09–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.25 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 4:360.11–0.49 | 5:260.30–0.07 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 0:460.00–0.01 | 2:280.18–0.00 | 2:380.13–0.04 | 2:420.30–0.00 | 1:020.06–0.00 | 1:160.41–0.10 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 4:030.00–0.00 | 5:390.84–0.16 | 1:390.30–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||
| Cole–Fleury | 2:420.00–0.02 | 1:330.07–0.04 | 1:210.00–0.07 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:500.10–0.00 | 4:190.18–0.15 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 1:470.05–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Cole–Sergachev | 0:470.14–0.00 | 0:350.09–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.30 | 1:300.20–0.20 | 1:060.14–0.00 | 0:370.09–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.10 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 0:440.00–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Cole–Cernak | 0:510.10–0.00 | 1:150.10–0.13 | 0:370.12–0.12 | ||||||||||||||
| Cole–Hedman | 0:400.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Owen PowerBUF | 33 | 28:14 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 7 | 4 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 35 | 26:15 | 0:45 | 2:15 | 4 | 8 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 30 | 24:46 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 3 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 22:23 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 34 | 22:14 | 0:39 | 1:54 | 2 | 10 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 21:51 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 2 | 6 |
 Kale ClagueBUF | 27 | 21:14 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 19:56 | 0:54 | 2:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 27 | 19:24 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 19:11 | 0:55 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 18:11 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 5 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 18:04 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 23 | 18:04 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 2 | 6 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 17:55 | 0:54 | 1:34 | 5 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 17:36 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 7 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 23 | 17:34 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 7 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 17:22 | 0:45 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 17:18 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 9 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 7 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 21 | 16:49 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 5 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 20 | 16:34 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 14:47 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 24 | 14:06 | 0:35 | 1:37 | 6 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 13:09 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 1 | 8 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 20 | 12:33 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 1 | 7 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 12:27 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 6 | 2 |
 Haydn FleuryTBL | 17 | 12:23 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 17 | 11:57 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 2 | 4 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 19 | 11:44 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 3 | 3 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 16 | 11:41 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 15 | 11:21 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 5 | 1 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 14 | 10:49 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 5 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 14 | 10:31 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Cole KoepkeTBL | 16 | 10:24 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 2 | 4 |
 Lawrence PilutBUF | 15 | 10:04 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 10 | 6:09 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |