Sat, Nov 5, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 28:14 | 0.01 | 72.7% | +38.8 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 26:15 | 0.05 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Kale ClagueD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.02 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.02 | 49.7% | +30.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.05 | 46.1% | +30.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.30 | 48.4% | +18.8 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 17:34 | 0.93 | 48.5% | +30.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.40 | 35.7% | +20.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.25 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.29 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.14 | 48.0% | +20.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.19 | 30.7% | +18.8 |
 Rasmus AsplundC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:33 | 0.04 | 29.9% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.15 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.02 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Lawrence PilutD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0 |
 Eric Comrie#31 | L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.52 | −0.5 | 59:37 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.08 | 76.2% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.01 | 36.4% | +18.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:51 | 0.03 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 19:56 | 1.34 | 65.5% | +87.9 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 19:11 | 0.78 | 65.5% | +83.7 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.32 | 63.5% | +22.2 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.12 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.20 | 35.5% | +17.7 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.20 | 49.3% | +18.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.07 | 73.8% | +33.5 |
 Haydn FleuryD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:57 | 0.44 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.05 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.28 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.07 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Cole KoepkeLW · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:24 | 0.25 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
 Brian Elliott#1 | W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.88 | −0.1 | 60:00 |