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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 6, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Martinook, saved by Kallgren
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren
  4. P1 2:32Shot by Stepan, saved by Kallgren
  5. P1 3:22Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:10Shot by Pesce, saved by Kallgren
  7. P1 6:01Shot by Stastny, saved by Kallgren
  8. P1 7:08Shot by Brodie, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 7:28Holl: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  10. P1 8:11Goal by Noesen (Svechnikov, Burns)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Liljegren

  11. P1 10:39Shot by Burns, saved by Kallgren
  12. P1 14:46Shot by Malgin, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 14:52Shot by Malgin, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 15:28Shot by de Haan, saved by Kallgren
  15. P1 16:15Shot by Skjei, saved by Kallgren
  16. P1 16:32Shot by Burns, saved by Kallgren
  17. P1 16:57Shot by Noesen, saved by Kallgren
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:23Shot by Necas, saved by Kallgren
  21. P2 0:43Shot by Malgin, saved by Andersen
  22. P2 2:19Shot by Jarvis, saved by Kallgren
  23. P2 3:32Bunting: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  24. P2 4:19Shot by Noesen, saved by Kallgren5v4
  25. P2 7:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 8:26Shot by Slavin, saved by Kallgren
  27. P2 8:44Shot by Kampf, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 9:11Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren
  29. P2 10:07Shot by Giordano, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 11:08Shot by de Haan, saved by Kallgren
  31. P2 11:41Shot by Engvall, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 12:05Kotkaniemi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TOR Brodie, Holl, Malgin, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  33. P2 12:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen4v5
  34. P2 15:02Shot by Engvall, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 16:39Shot by Malgin, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 16:48Shot by Malgin, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 16:57Shot by Sandin, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 17:03Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 17:35Shot by Martinook, saved by Kallgren
  40. P2 17:39Shot by Noesen, saved by Kallgren
  41. P2 18:30Goal by Jarnkrok (Engvall, Holl)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stastny, Stepan, de Haan, Noesen, Chatfield · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Holl, Bunting, Engvall

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:37Shot by Burns, saved by Kallgren
  45. P3 2:20Shot by Stepan, saved by Kallgren
  46. P3 2:28Shot by Slavin, saved by Kallgren
  47. P3 2:51Shot by Burns, saved by Kallgren
  48. P3 2:52Shot by Stepan, saved by Kallgren
  49. P3 2:53Shot by Stepan, saved by Kallgren
  50. P3 3:10Shot by Jarvis, saved by Kallgren
  51. P3 8:24Goal by Tavares (Marner, Robertson)+33 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Pesce, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Marner, Robertson

  52. P3 10:45Shot by Necas, saved by Kallgren
  53. P3 12:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 15:00Shot by Kampf, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 15:09Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 15:41Shot by Martinook, saved by Kallgren
  57. P3 16:25Goal by Nylander (Matthews)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Brodie, Holl, Nylander, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  58. P3 19:12Shot by Necas, saved by Kallgren6v5
  59. P3 19:13Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren6v5
  60. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  61. P3 0:00Final