Sun, Nov 6, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.
53%
9%
8%
29%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.07 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 21:25 | 0.01 | 43.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.58 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.02 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.05 | 43.1% | +10.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.38 | 55.1% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.02 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.06 | 29.6% | +32.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.68 | 36.3% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.15 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:08 | 0.33 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.13 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.04 | 16.6% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.16 | 21.3% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.09 | 42.1% | +32.9 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 3.56 | +2.6 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.14 | 67.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.05 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:52 | 0.04 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.11 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:41 | 0.10 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.14 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.39 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.45 | 34.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.26 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.45 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.10 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.15 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.07 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.14 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 11:26 | 0.44 | 76.2% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.08 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 9:06 | 0.44 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.95 | −1.1 | 57:27 |