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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakCoyle–Zacha–FredericKrejci–Hall–DeBruskFoligno–Smith–NosekKrejci–Hall–PastrnakBergeron–Marchand–DeBruskLindholm–McAvoyGrzelcyk–CliftonClifton–ZborilLindholm–CarloGrzelcyk–CarloGrzelcyk–McAvoyZboril–CarloLindholm–CliftonZboril–McAvoy
Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Krebs2:170.07–0.303:300.30–0.331:300.05–0.051:460.08–0.003:260.22–0.282:040.00–0.011:040.00–0.130:580.06–0.050:430.08–0.151:240.07–0.081:010.02–0.001:050.30–0.00
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson3:320.09–0.191:070.03–0.110:410.00–0.001:410.23–0.001:020.05–0.000:300.00–0.003:280.07–0.291:520.23–0.000:350.05–0.002:010.03–0.000:350.01–0.00
Cozens–Quinn–Peterka3:110.12–0.000:500.00–0.002:250.82–0.013:220.77–0.012:070.17–0.001:300.04–0.000:480.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:510.06–0.03
Girgensons–Hinostroza–Asplund2:130.01–0.401:130.07–0.051:080.00–0.030:520.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:570.05–0.371:450.03–0.001:570.00–0.150:490.00–0.030:410.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power4:210.14–0.382:440.11–0.113:080.05–0.380:480.00–0.002:330.14–0.051:520.08–0.006:540.07–0.554:260.13–0.011:560.09–0.132:030.09–0.051:200.08–0.202:240.08–0.08
Pilut–Lyubushkin1:540.00–0.181:560.00–0.032:450.32–0.001:220.77–0.001:120.03–0.001:220.00–0.003:210.98–0.182:260.02–0.001:430.00–0.001:150.00–0.100:400.00–0.001:080.30–0.00
Fitzgerald–Bryson2:040.05–0.370:370.00–0.003:360.29–0.041:240.00–0.012:210.32–0.370:420.05–0.000:400.00–0.000:320.00–0.031:380.08–0.03
Lyubushkin–Power1:110.05–0.00
Bryson–Pilut0:470.02–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKrebs FMittelstadt FOlofsson FQuinn FCozens FPeterka FThompson FTuch FSkinner FGirgensons FHinostroza FAsplund FPower DDahlin DLyubushkin DPilut DFitzgerald DBryson DAnderson GBergeron FMarchand FDeBrusk FFrederic FZacha FCoyle FHall FKrejci FPastrnak FSmith FFoligno FNosek FCarlo DLindholm DGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DZboril DClifton DKinkaid G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF3529:350:512:0874
Rasmus DahlinBUF3328:080:512:0954
Hampus LindholmBOS3226:130:491:5736
Charlie McAvoyBOS3121:550:421:4744
Casey MittelstadtBUF2421:040:532:0852
Connor CliftonBOS2720:010:441:5143
David PastrnakBOS2118:370:531:4242
Alex TuchBUF2318:250:481:3532
Brandon CarloBOS2818:230:392:2913
Matt GrzelcykBOS2518:130:441:5143
Brad MarchandBOS2217:430:481:4264
Patrice BergeronBOS2217:310:482:1463
Victor OlofssonBUF2417:300:442:0952
Jake DeBruskBOS2117:240:501:4440
Tage ThompsonBUF2417:210:431:3252
Lawrence PilutBUF2417:050:431:4122
Dylan CozensBUF2416:020:401:2963
Taylor HallBOS1916:000:511:4610
Jeff SkinnerBUF2115:560:461:2332
Ilya LyubushkinBUF2315:530:411:5112
Charlie CoyleBOS2215:370:431:0904
David KrejciBOS1915:300:491:2931
Pavel ZachaBOS2214:250:391:1701
Peyton KrebsBUF1714:150:502:1631
JJ PeterkaBUF2014:090:421:0661
Tomas NosekBOS1913:420:431:4117
Jack QuinnBUF1913:090:421:0271
Jacob BrysonBUF2313:050:341:0745
Jakub ZborilBOS1711:360:411:1211
Nick FolignoBOS1411:100:481:2923
Rasmus AsplundBUF1710:330:370:5402
Casey FitzgeraldBUF1610:270:391:2432
Trent FredericBOS1610:240:391:0501
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1410:160:441:0900
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1710:100:360:5302
Craig SmithBOS107:420:461:3021